Opinion Poll by CURS, 12–20 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.1–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.7–14.7%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6%
PRO România 4.1% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.4–8.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 116 110–125 107–127 106–130 102–136
Partidul Național Liberal 93 68 63–75 61–77 60–78 57–82
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 41 36–46 35–48 34–49 32–51
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 37 34–42 32–43 31–45 30–47
PRO România 0 20 17–24 0–25 0–26 0–27
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–20 13–21 13–22 12–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 17 0–20 0–21 0–21 0–23
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0 0–16 0–17 0–19

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.3% 99.5%  
103 0.3% 99.3%  
104 0.7% 98.9%  
105 0.6% 98%  
106 1.5% 98%  
107 2% 96%  
108 2% 94%  
109 2% 93%  
110 4% 90% Last Result
111 7% 86%  
112 4% 79%  
113 5% 75%  
114 5% 70%  
115 8% 64%  
116 8% 56% Median
117 6% 48%  
118 5% 42%  
119 6% 37%  
120 6% 31%  
121 4% 25%  
122 4% 21%  
123 3% 17%  
124 3% 14%  
125 2% 11%  
126 3% 10%  
127 2% 7%  
128 1.2% 5%  
129 0.9% 4%  
130 0.6% 3%  
131 0.8% 2%  
132 0.4% 2%  
133 0.3% 1.1%  
134 0.2% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.3%  
138 0.2% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0.1% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 0.7% 99.4%  
59 0.9% 98.7%  
60 2% 98%  
61 2% 96%  
62 3% 94%  
63 4% 91%  
64 4% 87%  
65 5% 83%  
66 13% 78%  
67 9% 65%  
68 9% 56% Median
69 8% 47%  
70 6% 39%  
71 6% 34%  
72 6% 28%  
73 4% 22%  
74 4% 18%  
75 5% 14%  
76 2% 9%  
77 2% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.0%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.5%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 3% 97%  
36 5% 94%  
37 9% 90%  
38 3% 81%  
39 14% 78%  
40 12% 64%  
41 7% 52% Median
42 12% 45%  
43 8% 33%  
44 5% 25%  
45 8% 20%  
46 5% 12%  
47 2% 7%  
48 2% 5%  
49 0.9% 3%  
50 0.9% 2%  
51 0.5% 0.8%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 0.8% 99.5%  
31 2% 98.7%  
32 3% 97%  
33 4% 94% Last Result
34 8% 90%  
35 9% 82%  
36 13% 73%  
37 10% 60% Median
38 10% 50%  
39 9% 40%  
40 11% 30%  
41 7% 19%  
42 4% 13%  
43 4% 9%  
44 2% 5%  
45 1.4% 3%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.0%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 0% 94%  
10 0% 94%  
11 0% 94%  
12 0% 94%  
13 0% 94%  
14 0% 94%  
15 0% 94%  
16 0.7% 94%  
17 6% 94%  
18 11% 88%  
19 12% 77%  
20 19% 65% Median
21 15% 46%  
22 13% 31%  
23 8% 18%  
24 4% 10%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 1.1% 99.6%  
13 4% 98%  
14 6% 95%  
15 16% 89%  
16 14% 73%  
17 19% 59% Median
18 15% 40%  
19 12% 25%  
20 6% 13%  
21 3% 7% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 1.4%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 0% 56%  
9 0% 56%  
10 0% 56%  
11 0% 56%  
12 0% 56%  
13 0% 56%  
14 0% 56%  
15 0% 56%  
16 4% 56%  
17 15% 51% Median
18 18% 36%  
19 7% 18%  
20 6% 11%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.3% 2%  
23 0.7% 1.0%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0% 6%  
9 0% 6%  
10 0% 6%  
11 0% 6%  
12 0% 6%  
13 0% 6%  
14 0% 6%  
15 0% 6%  
16 1.5% 6%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.3% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 138 0% 127–146 124–149 122–152 118–156
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 110 136 0% 128–145 124–147 122–150 116–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 126 0% 119–136 117–138 114–140 111–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 120 0% 110–129 107–132 105–135 101–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 109 0% 102–119 100–120 99–123 95–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 97 0% 85–105 83–108 81–110 78–114
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 85 0% 79–93 77–95 76–97 73–100
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 80 0% 67–89 66–91 64–93 61–96
Partidul Național Liberal 93 68 0% 63–75 61–77 60–78 57–82
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 54 0% 40–61 39–63 37–65 34–68

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.8%  
118 0.3% 99.6%  
119 0.2% 99.3%  
120 0.2% 99.1%  
121 0.6% 98.9%  
122 1.3% 98%  
123 0.5% 97%  
124 2% 96%  
125 3% 95%  
126 2% 92%  
127 1.5% 91%  
128 2% 89%  
129 3% 87%  
130 3% 84%  
131 4% 81%  
132 3% 77%  
133 4% 74%  
134 3% 69%  
135 4% 66%  
136 5% 62%  
137 6% 57%  
138 6% 52%  
139 6% 46%  
140 7% 40%  
141 10% 33%  
142 4% 24%  
143 5% 20% Median
144 2% 15%  
145 2% 13%  
146 3% 11%  
147 1.2% 8%  
148 1.3% 7%  
149 1.3% 6%  
150 1.0% 4%  
151 0.5% 3%  
152 1.1% 3%  
153 0.5% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.3%  
155 0.1% 0.8%  
156 0.4% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0% 0.3%  
159 0% 0.2%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0.1% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.5%  
117 0.3% 99.4%  
118 0.3% 99.1%  
119 0.3% 98.8%  
120 0.3% 98.6%  
121 0.6% 98%  
122 0.6% 98%  
123 0.9% 97%  
124 1.2% 96%  
125 1.1% 95%  
126 1.3% 94%  
127 1.3% 93%  
128 2% 91%  
129 3% 89%  
130 4% 87%  
131 6% 83%  
132 6% 77%  
133 4% 71%  
134 4% 67%  
135 11% 63%  
136 4% 52% Median
137 5% 48%  
138 6% 43%  
139 6% 37%  
140 5% 31%  
141 4% 27%  
142 4% 23%  
143 5% 19%  
144 3% 14%  
145 2% 11%  
146 2% 9%  
147 2% 7%  
148 0.9% 5%  
149 1.0% 4%  
150 0.9% 3%  
151 0.6% 2%  
152 0.2% 1.3%  
153 0.6% 1.1%  
154 0.2% 0.6%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.2%  
157 0.1% 0.1%  
158 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.3% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0.2% 99.4%  
113 0.7% 99.2%  
114 1.4% 98.5%  
115 0.5% 97%  
116 0.9% 97%  
117 3% 96%  
118 2% 92%  
119 2% 90%  
120 5% 89%  
121 7% 84%  
122 3% 77%  
123 8% 74%  
124 9% 66%  
125 7% 58%  
126 5% 51% Median
127 3% 47%  
128 6% 43%  
129 4% 38%  
130 3% 34%  
131 4% 31%  
132 4% 27%  
133 4% 23%  
134 2% 19%  
135 4% 16%  
136 3% 13%  
137 3% 10%  
138 2% 7%  
139 1.0% 4%  
140 1.4% 3%  
141 0.6% 2%  
142 0.4% 1.4%  
143 0.1% 1.0%  
144 0.1% 0.9%  
145 0.1% 0.7%  
146 0.3% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.2% 99.7%  
102 0.3% 99.5%  
103 0.6% 99.1%  
104 0.3% 98.5%  
105 1.3% 98%  
106 2% 97%  
107 0.9% 95%  
108 3% 94%  
109 1.4% 92%  
110 2% 90%  
111 3% 88%  
112 2% 86%  
113 3% 83%  
114 4% 80%  
115 5% 76%  
116 3% 72%  
117 4% 69%  
118 4% 64%  
119 5% 60%  
120 5% 55%  
121 4% 50%  
122 4% 46%  
123 9% 43%  
124 6% 33%  
125 7% 27%  
126 3% 20% Median
127 2% 17%  
128 3% 15%  
129 3% 12%  
130 2% 9%  
131 1.3% 7%  
132 1.4% 6%  
133 0.9% 5%  
134 1.0% 4%  
135 1.1% 3%  
136 0.3% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.4%  
138 0.4% 1.1%  
139 0.3% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.3% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.4%  
97 0.9% 99.2%  
98 0.7% 98%  
99 2% 98%  
100 2% 96%  
101 2% 94%  
102 2% 92%  
103 5% 90%  
104 4% 85%  
105 8% 80%  
106 7% 72%  
107 4% 65%  
108 8% 61%  
109 5% 53% Median
110 5% 48%  
111 6% 43%  
112 3% 37%  
113 4% 34%  
114 4% 30%  
115 5% 25%  
116 3% 20%  
117 4% 17%  
118 4% 14%  
119 4% 10%  
120 2% 6%  
121 0.8% 4%  
122 0.7% 4%  
123 1.2% 3%  
124 0.7% 2%  
125 0.2% 1.0%  
126 0.2% 0.8%  
127 0.1% 0.6%  
128 0.1% 0.5%  
129 0.2% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 0.3% 99.2%  
80 0.7% 98.9%  
81 1.1% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 2% 95%  
84 2% 93%  
85 3% 90%  
86 4% 87%  
87 1.5% 83%  
88 2% 82%  
89 2% 80%  
90 2% 78%  
91 5% 75%  
92 4% 70%  
93 6% 66%  
94 2% 60%  
95 3% 57%  
96 3% 54%  
97 5% 51%  
98 2% 46%  
99 2% 44%  
100 5% 42%  
101 7% 37%  
102 11% 30% Median
103 4% 19%  
104 4% 15%  
105 2% 11%  
106 1.1% 9%  
107 2% 8%  
108 1.0% 6%  
109 1.4% 5%  
110 1.1% 3%  
111 0.8% 2%  
112 0.5% 1.4%  
113 0.4% 1.0%  
114 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
115 0.2% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.3%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 99.3%  
75 1.2% 98.8%  
76 1.3% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 2% 94%  
79 2% 92%  
80 3% 89%  
81 5% 86%  
82 6% 82%  
83 7% 76%  
84 16% 69%  
85 8% 53% Median
86 9% 45%  
87 3% 36%  
88 4% 33%  
89 3% 29%  
90 3% 27%  
91 5% 24%  
92 5% 18%  
93 6% 13%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 5%  
96 0.8% 3%  
97 1.0% 3%  
98 0.5% 2%  
99 0.3% 1.0%  
100 0.3% 0.7%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.2% 99.6%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 0.8% 98.8%  
64 0.9% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 3% 89%  
69 3% 86%  
70 2% 83%  
71 3% 80%  
72 5% 78%  
73 3% 73%  
74 3% 71%  
75 4% 67%  
76 2% 63%  
77 3% 60%  
78 3% 57%  
79 3% 55%  
80 2% 52%  
81 3% 49%  
82 5% 46%  
83 5% 42%  
84 7% 36%  
85 6% 29% Median
86 3% 22%  
87 4% 19%  
88 3% 15%  
89 4% 11%  
90 2% 8%  
91 1.4% 6%  
92 1.2% 4%  
93 1.0% 3% Last Result
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.3%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 0.7% 99.4%  
59 0.9% 98.7%  
60 2% 98%  
61 2% 96%  
62 3% 94%  
63 4% 91%  
64 4% 87%  
65 5% 83%  
66 13% 78%  
67 9% 65%  
68 9% 56% Median
69 8% 47%  
70 6% 39%  
71 6% 34%  
72 6% 28%  
73 4% 22%  
74 4% 18%  
75 5% 14%  
76 2% 9%  
77 2% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.0%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.4% 99.9%  
35 0.5% 99.5%  
36 0.9% 99.0%  
37 2% 98%  
38 1.1% 96%  
39 3% 95%  
40 5% 93%  
41 2% 88%  
42 8% 85%  
43 4% 78%  
44 3% 74%  
45 6% 71%  
46 4% 65%  
47 2% 61%  
48 2% 60%  
49 0.8% 58%  
50 0.8% 57%  
51 1.5% 56%  
52 1.5% 55%  
53 2% 53%  
54 4% 51%  
55 4% 47% Last Result
56 5% 43%  
57 12% 38%  
58 4% 26% Median
59 5% 22%  
60 4% 17%  
61 3% 13%  
62 3% 9%  
63 2% 6%  
64 1.2% 4%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 0.9% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.2%  
68 0.4% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations