Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 December 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4.1% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
26–30 December 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.5–6.1%
16–28 December 2023 ARA Public Opinion 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
20–27 November 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		 0.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 October–2 November 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 September 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–22 September 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.8%
28–31 August 2023 INSOMAR 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
8–20 July 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
1–30 June 2023 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 May–30 June 2023 Geeks for Democracy 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–27 May 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
12–17 May 2023 CURS 3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–20 March 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
5–19 February 2023 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–13 February 2023 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 January 2023 Atlas Intel 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–20 January 2023 CURS 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
1–31 December 2022 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–22 November 2022 CURS 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
1–31 October 2022 Sociopol 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.0–1.1%
8–22 September 2022 CURS 3.9% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
1–31 August 2022 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–17 August 2022 CURS 4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–31 July 2022 Avangarde 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.8%
22–30 June 2022 Avangarde 3.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–26 May 2022 CURS 3.9% 3.4–4.4% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0%
12–20 April 2022 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 March–11 April 2022 CURS 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
22–29 March 2022 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–11 March 2022 CURS 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
2–7 March 2022 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–19 February 2022 Sociopol 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
20–31 January 2022 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 January 2022 CURS 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
10–18 January 2022 INSCOP 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
15–23 December 2021 Avangarde 4.0% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
17–22 December 2021 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–17 December 2021 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
16–24 November 2021 Avangarde 4.0% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
17–22 November 2021 CURS 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
25–30 October 2021 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
17–26 October 2021 Avangarde 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
15–25 October 2021 INSCOP 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%
12–20 October 2021 CURS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 October 2021 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 October 2021 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 September 2021 Gazeta Civică 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 September 2021 INSOMAR 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–27 September 2021 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 September 2021 Avangarde 4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 September 2021 CURS 3.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 September 2021 CURS 4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 August 2021 Avangarde 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–20 August 2021 CURS 4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 August 2021 IRES 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–15 July 2021 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–15 July 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–18 June 2021 CURS 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
1–15 June 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–15 June 2021 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2021 Sociopol 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2021 IRES 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 May 2021 Avangarde 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 May 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2021 CURS 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.7%
30 March–11 April 2021 BCS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–28 March 2021 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 March 2021 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 February 2021 CURS 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
9–11 February 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–17 January 2021 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 January 2021 CURS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 December 2020 CURS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–20 December 2020 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.3% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 18% 99.7%  
3.5–4.5% 56% 82% Median
4.5–5.5% 23% 26%  
5.5–6.5% 2% 2%  
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 December 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
26–30 December 2023 CURS 0 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–23
16–28 December 2023 ARA Public Opinion 0 0–20 0–20 0–21 0–22
20–27 November 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		          
23 October–2 November 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		          
15–22 September 2023 INSCOP
News.ro		          
12–22 September 2023 CURS 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–20
28–31 August 2023 INSOMAR 0 0 0 0 0
8–20 July 2023 CURS 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–20
1–30 June 2023 INSCOP          
1 May–30 June 2023 Geeks for Democracy          
19–27 May 2023 CURS 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
12–17 May 2023 CURS          
10–20 March 2023 CURS 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
5–19 February 2023 INSCOP          
1–13 February 2023 INSCOP          
27–30 January 2023 Atlas Intel          
10–20 January 2023 CURS 0 0 0 0 0–19
1–31 December 2022 INSCOP          
8–22 November 2022 CURS 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–21
1–31 October 2022 Sociopol 0 0 0 0 0
8–22 September 2022 CURS 0 0 0–19 0–20 0–21
1–31 August 2022 Sociopol          
5–17 August 2022 CURS          
22–31 July 2022 Avangarde 0 0 0 0 0
22–30 June 2022 Avangarde          
16–26 May 2022 CURS 0 0 0 0 0
12–20 April 2022 Avangarde          
28 March–11 April 2022 CURS 0 0 0 0 0
22–29 March 2022 Avangarde          
2–11 March 2022 CURS 0 0 0 0–20 0–22
2–7 March 2022 INSCOP          
9–19 February 2022 Sociopol 0 0 0 0 0
20–31 January 2022 Avangarde          
22–29 January 2022 CURS 0 0 0 0–19 0–20
10–18 January 2022 INSCOP 0 0 0 0 0
15–23 December 2021 Avangarde 0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
17–22 December 2021 Sociopol          
13–17 December 2021 CURS 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–19
16–24 November 2021 Avangarde 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
17–22 November 2021 CURS 0 0 0 0 0
25–30 October 2021 CURS 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–19
17–26 October 2021 Avangarde 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
15–25 October 2021 INSCOP 0 0 0 0 0
12–20 October 2021 CURS          
12–17 October 2021 INSCOP          
11–15 October 2021 Sociopol          
26–29 September 2021 Gazeta Civică          
28 September 2021 INSOMAR          
15–27 September 2021 INSCOP          
14–21 September 2021 Avangarde          
8–10 September 2021 CURS          
3–5 September 2021 CURS          
20–24 August 2021 Avangarde          
12–20 August 2021 CURS          
15–19 August 2021 IRES          
1–15 July 2021 Sociopol          
1–15 July 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		          
11–18 June 2021 CURS 0 0 0 0 0
1–15 June 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		          
1–15 June 2021 INSCOP          
1–31 May 2021 Sociopol          
1–31 May 2021 IRES          
1–31 May 2021 Avangarde          
7 May 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		          
14–17 April 2021 CURS 0 0 0 0–18 0–19
30 March–11 April 2021 BCS          
12–28 March 2021 Sociopol          
1–12 March 2021 INSCOP          
22–26 February 2021 CURS 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 February 2021 INSOMAR
Realitatea.net		          
15–17 January 2021 Avangarde          
11–15 January 2021 CURS          
17–21 December 2020 CURS          
10–20 December 2020 Avangarde          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 0% 16%  
5 0% 16%  
6 0% 16%  
7 0% 16%  
8 0% 16%  
9 0% 16%  
10 0% 16%  
11 0% 16%  
12 0% 16%  
13 0% 16%  
14 0% 16%  
15 0% 16%  
16 0% 16%  
17 0.6% 16%  
18 4% 15%  
19 5% 12%  
20 3% 6%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.2% 0.8%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%