Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 16–24 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 40.0% 37.9–42.1% 37.3–42.7% 36.8–43.2% 35.8–44.2%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 17.0% 15.5–18.7% 15.1–19.2% 14.7–19.6% 14.0–20.4%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 15.0% 13.6–16.6% 13.2–17.1% 12.8–17.5% 12.2–18.3%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 11.0% 9.8–12.5% 9.4–12.9% 9.2–13.3% 8.6–14.0%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 5.0% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.3% 3.7–6.6% 3.4–7.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 4.0% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
PRO România 4.1% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 141 133–148 130–151 128–153 123–155
Partidul Național Liberal 93 60 54–66 52–67 51–69 48–72
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 52 47–58 46–60 45–62 42–64
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 39 34–43 33–44 32–46 30–49
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–20 13–21 13–22 12–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–20
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.6%  
124 0.3% 99.5%  
125 0.4% 99.2%  
126 0.4% 98.9%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 1.1% 98%  
129 1.2% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 2% 94%  
132 1.2% 93%  
133 3% 91%  
134 3% 89%  
135 4% 86%  
136 5% 82%  
137 6% 76%  
138 7% 71%  
139 5% 64%  
140 6% 59%  
141 6% 53% Median
142 8% 47%  
143 7% 39%  
144 6% 32%  
145 5% 26%  
146 3% 21%  
147 6% 18%  
148 2% 12%  
149 2% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 2% 5%  
152 0.8% 3%  
153 1.2% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.7%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.9% 99.1%  
51 1.1% 98%  
52 2% 97%  
53 4% 95%  
54 3% 91%  
55 5% 87%  
56 6% 82%  
57 5% 76%  
58 9% 71%  
59 11% 62%  
60 8% 52% Median
61 6% 44%  
62 8% 37%  
63 4% 30%  
64 8% 26%  
65 4% 18%  
66 6% 14%  
67 3% 8%  
68 1.3% 4%  
69 1.1% 3%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.7%  
43 0.6% 99.3%  
44 0.9% 98.7%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 96%  
47 4% 93%  
48 6% 89%  
49 6% 83%  
50 13% 77%  
51 8% 63%  
52 10% 56% Median
53 6% 46%  
54 6% 40%  
55 10% 34%  
56 5% 24%  
57 7% 19%  
58 3% 12%  
59 3% 9%  
60 2% 6%  
61 2% 5%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.4% 1.4%  
64 0.6% 1.0%  
65 0.1% 0.4%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.7%  
31 0.8% 99.2%  
32 2% 98%  
33 3% 97%  
34 5% 94%  
35 6% 89%  
36 11% 82%  
37 12% 72%  
38 8% 60%  
39 13% 51% Median
40 10% 38%  
41 7% 28%  
42 8% 21%  
43 5% 13%  
44 3% 8%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.1% 3%  
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.1%  
49 0.3% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 1.2% 99.5%  
13 4% 98%  
14 8% 95%  
15 15% 87%  
16 13% 72%  
17 17% 59% Median
18 12% 42%  
19 11% 30%  
20 9% 19%  
21 5% 9% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.8% 2%  
24 0.5% 1.0%  
25 0.2% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0% 9%  
9 0% 9%  
10 0% 9%  
11 0% 9%  
12 0% 9%  
13 0% 9%  
14 0% 9%  
15 0% 9%  
16 0.3% 9%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 1.3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0% 9%  
9 0% 9%  
10 0% 9%  
11 0% 9%  
12 0% 9%  
13 0% 9%  
14 0% 9%  
15 0% 9%  
16 1.0% 9%  
17 3% 8%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 110 141 0% 133–148 130–151 128–153 123–155
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 169 117 0% 110–125 108–127 106–130 102–136
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 116 0% 108–123 106–125 104–127 100–130
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 100 0% 93–108 90–111 89–114 85–118
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 99 0% 92–105 89–108 88–109 84–113
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 114 78 0% 71–87 70–89 68–92 65–98
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 77 0% 70–84 69–86 67–87 64–91
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 61 0% 55–69 53–73 52–76 49–81
Partidul Național Liberal 93 60 0% 54–66 52–67 51–69 48–72
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 39 0% 35–47 33–53 32–55 30–60

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.6%  
124 0.3% 99.5%  
125 0.4% 99.2%  
126 0.4% 98.9%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 1.1% 98%  
129 1.2% 97%  
130 2% 96%  
131 2% 94%  
132 1.2% 93%  
133 3% 91%  
134 3% 89%  
135 4% 86%  
136 5% 82%  
137 6% 76%  
138 7% 71%  
139 5% 64%  
140 6% 59%  
141 6% 53% Median
142 8% 47%  
143 7% 39%  
144 6% 32%  
145 5% 26%  
146 3% 21%  
147 6% 18%  
148 2% 12%  
149 2% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 2% 5%  
152 0.8% 3%  
153 1.2% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.3% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.0%  
105 0.5% 98.7%  
106 1.1% 98%  
107 2% 97%  
108 1.4% 96%  
109 2% 94%  
110 5% 92%  
111 4% 87%  
112 2% 83%  
113 6% 81%  
114 8% 75%  
115 6% 67%  
116 6% 61% Median
117 8% 54%  
118 8% 47%  
119 5% 39%  
120 5% 34%  
121 8% 29%  
122 3% 21%  
123 3% 17%  
124 3% 15%  
125 3% 11%  
126 2% 8%  
127 1.5% 6%  
128 1.0% 5%  
129 0.8% 4%  
130 0.5% 3%  
131 0.4% 2%  
132 0.7% 2%  
133 0.3% 1.2%  
134 0.2% 0.9%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.3% 99.6%  
101 0.4% 99.3%  
102 0.5% 98.9%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 0.9% 98%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.4% 96%  
107 2% 94%  
108 3% 92%  
109 2% 89%  
110 6% 87%  
111 4% 81%  
112 3% 77%  
113 6% 74%  
114 8% 67%  
115 7% 60%  
116 7% 53% Median
117 8% 46%  
118 7% 39%  
119 5% 31%  
120 5% 27%  
121 8% 22%  
122 3% 14%  
123 2% 11%  
124 3% 9%  
125 2% 6%  
126 2% 4%  
127 0.7% 3%  
128 0.7% 2%  
129 0.5% 1.2%  
130 0.2% 0.6%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.5%  
86 0.2% 99.3%  
87 0.4% 99.2%  
88 0.6% 98.8%  
89 2% 98%  
90 1.5% 96%  
91 1.3% 95%  
92 1.4% 94%  
93 5% 92%  
94 9% 88%  
95 3% 79%  
96 3% 76%  
97 5% 73%  
98 9% 68%  
99 8% 60% Median
100 9% 51%  
101 3% 42%  
102 3% 39%  
103 8% 36%  
104 9% 28%  
105 3% 19%  
106 2% 16%  
107 2% 14%  
108 2% 12%  
109 2% 10%  
110 1.4% 7%  
111 1.4% 6%  
112 0.9% 4%  
113 0.7% 3%  
114 0.8% 3%  
115 0.6% 2%  
116 0.5% 1.4%  
117 0.2% 0.9%  
118 0.3% 0.7%  
119 0.2% 0.5%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.7% 99.2%  
86 0.3% 98.6%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.9% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 2% 94%  
91 2% 92%  
92 2% 90%  
93 6% 89%  
94 10% 83%  
95 3% 73%  
96 3% 69%  
97 5% 67%  
98 9% 61%  
99 8% 52% Median
100 9% 43%  
101 3% 34%  
102 3% 31%  
103 8% 28%  
104 9% 20%  
105 3% 11%  
106 1.4% 8%  
107 1.1% 7%  
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 4%  
110 0.5% 2%  
111 0.2% 1.3%  
112 0.4% 1.0%  
113 0.4% 0.7%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 99.6%  
66 0.3% 99.4%  
67 1.2% 99.1%  
68 0.9% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 3% 92%  
72 5% 89%  
73 5% 85%  
74 5% 80%  
75 8% 76%  
76 6% 68%  
77 7% 62% Median
78 6% 54%  
79 7% 48%  
80 5% 41%  
81 6% 36%  
82 5% 29%  
83 3% 25%  
84 6% 22%  
85 3% 15%  
86 2% 12%  
87 2% 10%  
88 1.1% 8%  
89 2% 7%  
90 1.2% 5%  
91 0.8% 4%  
92 0.8% 3%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0.2% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.5%  
96 0.1% 0.9%  
97 0.3% 0.8%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 99.3%  
66 0.6% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 1.5% 97%  
69 2% 95%  
70 4% 93%  
71 3% 89%  
72 6% 86%  
73 5% 79%  
74 5% 74%  
75 8% 69%  
76 6% 61%  
77 7% 54% Median
78 6% 47%  
79 7% 40%  
80 5% 33%  
81 7% 28%  
82 5% 21%  
83 2% 17%  
84 6% 14%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.5% 4%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.3% 0.8%  
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0.5% 99.3%  
51 0.7% 98.8%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 96%  
54 3% 93%  
55 4% 90%  
56 5% 86%  
57 4% 80%  
58 7% 76%  
59 10% 69%  
60 8% 59% Median
61 6% 51%  
62 7% 45%  
63 4% 38%  
64 8% 34%  
65 4% 26%  
66 6% 22%  
67 4% 16%  
68 2% 13%  
69 2% 11%  
70 1.3% 9%  
71 1.0% 8%  
72 1.1% 7%  
73 1.2% 6%  
74 0.7% 5%  
75 1.4% 4%  
76 0.9% 3%  
77 0.5% 2%  
78 0.5% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 0.9%  
80 0.1% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.7%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.9% 99.1%  
51 1.1% 98%  
52 2% 97%  
53 4% 95%  
54 3% 91%  
55 5% 87%  
56 6% 82%  
57 5% 76%  
58 9% 71%  
59 11% 62%  
60 8% 52% Median
61 6% 44%  
62 8% 37%  
63 4% 30%  
64 8% 26%  
65 4% 18%  
66 6% 14%  
67 3% 8%  
68 1.3% 4%  
69 1.1% 3%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.4% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.3% 99.8%  
31 0.6% 99.4%  
32 1.4% 98.8%  
33 2% 97%  
34 4% 95%  
35 6% 91%  
36 9% 85%  
37 11% 76%  
38 8% 66%  
39 12% 58% Median
40 9% 45%  
41 7% 36%  
42 7% 29%  
43 5% 22%  
44 3% 17%  
45 2% 14%  
46 1.0% 11%  
47 0.8% 10%  
48 0.7% 10%  
49 0.5% 9%  
50 0.3% 8%  
51 1.0% 8%  
52 0.8% 7%  
53 2% 6%  
54 1.3% 4%  
55 0.8% 3% Last Result
56 0.4% 2%  
57 0.7% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.2%  
59 0.2% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations