Opinion Poll by CURS, 13–17 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 38.0% 36.1–39.9% 35.6–40.5% 35.2–40.9% 34.3–41.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 19.0% 17.5–20.6% 17.1–21.0% 16.8–21.4% 16.1–22.2%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.1% 10.6–15.8%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 11.0% 9.9–12.3% 9.6–12.7% 9.3–13.0% 8.8–13.6%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 133 125–142 123–145 121–146 117–150
Partidul Național Liberal 93 67 60–73 59–74 58–76 55–79
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 45 41–51 39–52 38–53 36–56
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 38 34–43 33–45 32–46 30–48
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 17 14–21 14–21 13–22 12–24
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 0 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0 0–17 0–18 0–19

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.2% 99.6%  
118 0.4% 99.4%  
119 0.5% 99.0%  
120 0.8% 98%  
121 1.1% 98%  
122 2% 97%  
123 2% 95%  
124 2% 93%  
125 3% 91%  
126 3% 88%  
127 4% 85%  
128 5% 81%  
129 6% 76%  
130 4% 70%  
131 5% 66%  
132 4% 61%  
133 8% 56% Median
134 4% 48%  
135 6% 44%  
136 5% 39%  
137 4% 33%  
138 5% 29%  
139 3% 24%  
140 6% 20%  
141 2% 15%  
142 3% 12%  
143 3% 9%  
144 1.1% 7%  
145 2% 6%  
146 1.1% 3%  
147 1.0% 2%  
148 0.5% 1.3%  
149 0.3% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.7%  
56 0.6% 99.4%  
57 0.8% 98.7%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 5% 95%  
61 3% 90%  
62 6% 87%  
63 5% 80%  
64 9% 76%  
65 8% 67%  
66 8% 60%  
67 9% 52% Median
68 8% 43%  
69 10% 35%  
70 5% 25%  
71 5% 20%  
72 4% 15%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 7%  
75 1.3% 5%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.1%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.4% 99.7%  
37 0.8% 99.4%  
38 2% 98.6%  
39 3% 97%  
40 4% 94%  
41 5% 90%  
42 7% 85%  
43 9% 79%  
44 11% 70%  
45 10% 59% Median
46 10% 49%  
47 8% 39%  
48 8% 31%  
49 6% 23%  
50 6% 17%  
51 5% 11%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.8% 1.4%  
56 0.4% 0.7%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.7%  
31 1.3% 99.2%  
32 2% 98%  
33 3% 96%  
34 6% 93%  
35 7% 87%  
36 8% 80%  
37 12% 72%  
38 12% 60% Median
39 10% 49%  
40 10% 38%  
41 8% 28%  
42 7% 20%  
43 5% 14%  
44 4% 9%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.7% 2%  
48 0.4% 0.8%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 1.0% 99.7%  
13 3% 98.7%  
14 7% 96%  
15 10% 89%  
16 16% 79%  
17 17% 63% Median
18 16% 46%  
19 12% 30%  
20 7% 18%  
21 6% 11% Last Result
22 3% 5%  
23 1.3% 2%  
24 0.6% 0.9%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 0% 50%  
9 0% 50%  
10 0% 50%  
11 0% 50%  
12 0% 50%  
13 0% 50%  
14 0% 50%  
15 0% 50%  
16 0.6% 50%  
17 10% 49%  
18 14% 39%  
19 12% 25%  
20 6% 13%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.7% 1.1%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0% 6%  
9 0% 6%  
10 0% 6%  
11 0% 6%  
12 0% 6%  
13 0% 6%  
14 0% 6%  
15 0% 6%  
16 0.8% 6%  
17 3% 5%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.6% 1.0%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 132 0% 122–142 119–144 118–146 114–149
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 123 0% 114–131 112–133 110–135 107–138
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 114 0% 104–125 102–127 100–129 97–132
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 105 0% 98–113 96–115 94–117 91–120
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 93 0% 82–104 81–106 79–108 76–111
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 84 0% 77–91 76–93 74–94 71–98
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 76 0% 65–87 63–89 62–90 59–94
Partidul Național Liberal 93 67 0% 60–73 59–74 58–76 55–79
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 48 0% 37–59 35–61 34–62 32–65

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.2% 99.6%  
115 0.5% 99.3%  
116 0.3% 98.8%  
117 0.9% 98%  
118 1.0% 98%  
119 2% 97%  
120 2% 95%  
121 2% 93%  
122 3% 92% Median
123 3% 88%  
124 3% 85%  
125 5% 82%  
126 4% 77%  
127 5% 73%  
128 4% 68%  
129 5% 65%  
130 3% 59%  
131 4% 56%  
132 5% 52%  
133 3% 47%  
134 4% 44%  
135 4% 39%  
136 4% 35%  
137 5% 31%  
138 3% 26%  
139 5% 23%  
140 3% 18%  
141 3% 15%  
142 4% 12%  
143 3% 8%  
144 2% 6%  
145 1.4% 4%  
146 1.0% 3%  
147 0.7% 2%  
148 0.4% 1.1%  
149 0.2% 0.7%  
150 0.2% 0.4%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0.1% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.5%  
108 0.5% 99.3%  
109 0.7% 98.8%  
110 0.8% 98%  
111 1.1% 97%  
112 1.4% 96%  
113 2% 95%  
114 3% 93%  
115 3% 89%  
116 4% 87%  
117 3% 83%  
118 6% 79%  
119 6% 73%  
120 5% 67%  
121 6% 62%  
122 5% 56% Median
123 7% 51%  
124 6% 44%  
125 6% 39%  
126 5% 33%  
127 5% 27%  
128 4% 22%  
129 5% 18%  
130 2% 13%  
131 3% 11%  
132 3% 8%  
133 1.0% 5%  
134 2% 4%  
135 0.8% 3%  
136 0.7% 2%  
137 0.5% 1.3%  
138 0.4% 0.8%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.2% 99.7%  
97 0.3% 99.5%  
98 0.5% 99.3%  
99 0.8% 98.8%  
100 0.9% 98%  
101 1.2% 97%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 94%  
104 3% 92%  
105 2% 89% Median
106 5% 87%  
107 3% 82%  
108 4% 79%  
109 5% 74%  
110 4% 69%  
111 4% 66%  
112 4% 61%  
113 4% 58%  
114 4% 54%  
115 3% 50%  
116 4% 46%  
117 4% 42%  
118 4% 39%  
119 4% 35%  
120 4% 31%  
121 4% 26%  
122 4% 22%  
123 4% 18%  
124 4% 15%  
125 3% 11%  
126 2% 8%  
127 2% 6%  
128 1.1% 4%  
129 1.0% 3%  
130 0.6% 2%  
131 0.5% 1.1%  
132 0.3% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.7%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 0.6% 99.2%  
93 0.7% 98.6%  
94 1.1% 98%  
95 2% 97%  
96 2% 95%  
97 3% 94%  
98 4% 90%  
99 4% 87%  
100 4% 83%  
101 5% 78%  
102 6% 73%  
103 6% 67%  
104 8% 61%  
105 5% 54% Median
106 7% 48%  
107 6% 41%  
108 6% 35%  
109 7% 29%  
110 4% 22%  
111 5% 18%  
112 3% 14%  
113 3% 11%  
114 2% 8%  
115 2% 6%  
116 1.4% 4%  
117 0.7% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.5% 1.2%  
120 0.3% 0.7%  
121 0.2% 0.4%  
122 0.1% 0.2%  
123 0.1% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.3% 99.5%  
77 0.5% 99.3%  
78 0.7% 98.8%  
79 1.1% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 3% 92%  
83 2% 90%  
84 3% 87% Median
85 4% 84%  
86 6% 80%  
87 4% 74%  
88 4% 70%  
89 4% 66%  
90 3% 62%  
91 3% 58%  
92 3% 55%  
93 3% 53%  
94 2% 50%  
95 4% 47%  
96 4% 44%  
97 3% 40%  
98 5% 37%  
99 3% 32%  
100 2% 28%  
101 6% 26%  
102 4% 20%  
103 4% 16%  
104 3% 12%  
105 3% 9%  
106 1.2% 6%  
107 1.5% 5%  
108 2% 3%  
109 0.4% 2%  
110 0.6% 1.2%  
111 0.3% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.4%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
115 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 0.5% 99.4%  
73 0.9% 98.8%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 2% 95%  
77 4% 93%  
78 4% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 6% 80%  
81 7% 74%  
82 7% 68%  
83 6% 61%  
84 7% 55% Median
85 7% 47%  
86 8% 40%  
87 7% 31%  
88 5% 24%  
89 5% 19%  
90 4% 14%  
91 3% 11%  
92 2% 8%  
93 2% 6%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.3%  
97 0.4% 0.9%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 0.7% 98.5%  
62 1.0% 98%  
63 2% 97%  
64 2% 95%  
65 4% 92%  
66 2% 88%  
67 5% 86% Median
68 4% 80%  
69 7% 76%  
70 4% 69%  
71 3% 66%  
72 3% 62%  
73 3% 59%  
74 3% 56%  
75 2% 53%  
76 2% 51%  
77 3% 49%  
78 3% 46%  
79 3% 44%  
80 3% 40%  
81 3% 37%  
82 6% 35%  
83 3% 28%  
84 4% 25%  
85 6% 21%  
86 4% 15%  
87 3% 11%  
88 2% 8%  
89 2% 6%  
90 1.4% 4%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.4%  
93 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.7%  
56 0.6% 99.4%  
57 0.8% 98.7%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 5% 95%  
61 3% 90%  
62 6% 87%  
63 5% 80%  
64 9% 76%  
65 8% 67%  
66 8% 60%  
67 9% 52% Median
68 8% 43%  
69 10% 35%  
70 5% 25%  
71 5% 20%  
72 4% 15%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 7%  
75 1.3% 5%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.1%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0% Last Result

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 0.4% 99.6%  
33 0.7% 99.2%  
34 2% 98.5%  
35 2% 97%  
36 3% 95%  
37 5% 91%  
38 5% 87% Median
39 6% 82%  
40 6% 76%  
41 5% 70%  
42 4% 65%  
43 4% 61%  
44 3% 57%  
45 2% 54%  
46 1.1% 52%  
47 0.8% 51%  
48 0.7% 50%  
49 1.0% 50%  
50 1.3% 49%  
51 2% 47%  
52 3% 45%  
53 4% 42%  
54 5% 38%  
55 5% 33% Last Result
56 6% 28%  
57 6% 22%  
58 4% 16%  
59 4% 12%  
60 3% 8%  
61 3% 6%  
62 1.1% 3%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.4% 1.0%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Technical Information

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