Opinion Poll by CURS, 22–29 January 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 28.9% | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 25.2% | 16.6% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.7–19.8% |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 9.1% | 15.6% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 15.4% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| Partidul Ecologist Român | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| Forța Dreptei | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| PRO România | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Alianța pentru Patrie | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat | 110 | 129 | 123–140 | 121–144 | 119–147 | 114–157 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 93 | 64 | 57–73 | 56–74 | 55–74 | 53–78 |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | 33 | 60 | 53–68 | 52–69 | 52–71 | 49–75 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 55 | 38 | 34–41 | 31–41 | 0–43 | 0–48 |
| Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 21 | 17 | 15–23 | 15–25 | 14–25 | 12–26 |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–20 | 0–21 |
| Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Partidul Ecologist Român | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Forța Dreptei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PRO România | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alianța pentru Patrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 111 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 3% | 91% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 125 | 10% | 87% | |
| 126 | 2% | 77% | |
| 127 | 5% | 75% | |
| 128 | 14% | 70% | |
| 129 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 130 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 131 | 9% | 48% | |
| 132 | 5% | 39% | |
| 133 | 3% | 34% | |
| 134 | 10% | 31% | |
| 135 | 2% | 21% | |
| 136 | 2% | 18% | |
| 137 | 3% | 17% | |
| 138 | 3% | 13% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 140 | 2% | 10% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 89% | |
| 59 | 4% | 85% | |
| 60 | 4% | 81% | |
| 61 | 11% | 77% | |
| 62 | 3% | 66% | |
| 63 | 5% | 63% | |
| 64 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 49% | |
| 66 | 7% | 44% | |
| 67 | 5% | 37% | |
| 68 | 6% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 25% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 71 | 8% | 19% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 7% | 9% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 4% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 6% | 89% | |
| 55 | 3% | 83% | |
| 56 | 2% | 80% | |
| 57 | 9% | 78% | |
| 58 | 12% | 68% | |
| 59 | 3% | 56% | |
| 60 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 61 | 5% | 49% | |
| 62 | 4% | 44% | |
| 63 | 11% | 40% | |
| 64 | 11% | 29% | |
| 65 | 4% | 18% | |
| 66 | 2% | 13% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 69 | 5% | 9% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0% | 96% | |
| 14 | 0% | 96% | |
| 15 | 0% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0% | 96% | |
| 17 | 0% | 96% | |
| 18 | 0% | 96% | |
| 19 | 0% | 96% | |
| 20 | 0% | 96% | |
| 21 | 0% | 96% | |
| 22 | 0% | 96% | |
| 23 | 0% | 96% | |
| 24 | 0% | 96% | |
| 25 | 0% | 96% | |
| 26 | 0% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 32 | 2% | 95% | |
| 33 | 3% | 93% | |
| 34 | 5% | 90% | |
| 35 | 8% | 85% | |
| 36 | 7% | 76% | |
| 37 | 10% | 69% | |
| 38 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 23% | 42% | |
| 40 | 6% | 19% | |
| 41 | 10% | 14% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 3% | 98% | |
| 15 | 28% | 95% | |
| 16 | 2% | 67% | |
| 17 | 24% | 65% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 41% | |
| 19 | 2% | 37% | |
| 20 | 9% | 36% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 27% | Last Result |
| 22 | 10% | 25% | |
| 23 | 7% | 16% | |
| 24 | 2% | 8% | |
| 25 | 6% | 7% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 19 | 2% | 4% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Ecologist Român
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Ecologist Român page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Forța Dreptei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
PRO România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Alianța pentru Patrie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Patrie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România | 110 | 129 | 0% | 123–140 | 121–144 | 119–147 | 114–157 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 169 | 121 | 0% | 112–128 | 108–132 | 98–132 | 87–139 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 169 | 121 | 0% | 110–126 | 105–130 | 98–132 | 87–133 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 148 | 103 | 0% | 95–109 | 90–111 | 75–114 | 67–124 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS | 148 | 102 | 0% | 94–109 | 88–109 | 75–111 | 67–114 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 114 | 84 | 0% | 77–92 | 74–94 | 74–98 | 70–105 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | 114 | 82 | 0% | 75–89 | 74–92 | 73–94 | 69–100 |
| Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 93 | 65 | 0% | 58–74 | 56–76 | 56–80 | 53–90 |
| Partidul Național Liberal | 93 | 64 | 0% | 57–73 | 56–74 | 55–74 | 53–78 |
| Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară | 55 | 38 | 0% | 34–41 | 32–48 | 0–54 | 0–57 |
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 111 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 3% | 91% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 125 | 10% | 87% | |
| 126 | 2% | 77% | |
| 127 | 5% | 75% | |
| 128 | 14% | 70% | |
| 129 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 130 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 131 | 9% | 48% | |
| 132 | 5% | 39% | |
| 133 | 3% | 34% | |
| 134 | 10% | 31% | |
| 135 | 2% | 21% | |
| 136 | 2% | 18% | |
| 137 | 3% | 17% | |
| 138 | 3% | 13% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 140 | 2% | 10% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 142 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 102 | 0% | 97% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 108 | 2% | 95% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 111 | 2% | 92% | |
| 112 | 3% | 90% | |
| 113 | 2% | 87% | |
| 114 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 115 | 5% | 84% | |
| 116 | 4% | 79% | |
| 117 | 10% | 76% | |
| 118 | 2% | 66% | |
| 119 | 5% | 64% | Median |
| 120 | 5% | 59% | |
| 121 | 7% | 54% | |
| 122 | 2% | 47% | |
| 123 | 4% | 44% | |
| 124 | 11% | 41% | |
| 125 | 4% | 30% | |
| 126 | 12% | 26% | |
| 127 | 2% | 14% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 2% | 10% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 131 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 132 | 3% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 102 | 0% | 96% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 108 | 2% | 93% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 111 | 2% | 89% | |
| 112 | 4% | 87% | |
| 113 | 2% | 84% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 82% | |
| 115 | 5% | 81% | |
| 116 | 4% | 76% | |
| 117 | 10% | 72% | |
| 118 | 2% | 62% | |
| 119 | 5% | 61% | Median |
| 120 | 6% | 56% | |
| 121 | 7% | 50% | |
| 122 | 2% | 43% | |
| 123 | 4% | 40% | |
| 124 | 11% | 37% | |
| 125 | 4% | 26% | |
| 126 | 12% | 22% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 128 | 2% | 9% | |
| 129 | 2% | 7% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 132 | 2% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0% | 97% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0% | 96% | |
| 85 | 0% | 96% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 93 | 2% | 94% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 95 | 6% | 91% | |
| 96 | 4% | 85% | |
| 97 | 2% | 81% | |
| 98 | 4% | 79% | |
| 99 | 2% | 75% | |
| 100 | 15% | 72% | |
| 101 | 2% | 57% | |
| 102 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 103 | 6% | 53% | |
| 104 | 4% | 47% | |
| 105 | 5% | 43% | |
| 106 | 9% | 38% | |
| 107 | 6% | 29% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 23% | |
| 109 | 13% | 22% | |
| 110 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 111 | 4% | 8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 79 | 0% | 96% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 84 | 0% | 96% | |
| 85 | 0% | 96% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 2% | 95% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 93 | 2% | 92% | |
| 94 | 2% | 90% | |
| 95 | 6% | 89% | |
| 96 | 4% | 82% | |
| 97 | 2% | 78% | |
| 98 | 5% | 76% | |
| 99 | 2% | 71% | |
| 100 | 15% | 69% | |
| 101 | 2% | 54% | |
| 102 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 103 | 6% | 49% | |
| 104 | 4% | 43% | |
| 105 | 5% | 39% | |
| 106 | 9% | 34% | |
| 107 | 6% | 25% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 109 | 13% | 18% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 111 | 3% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 2% | 92% | |
| 77 | 3% | 90% | |
| 78 | 12% | 87% | |
| 79 | 5% | 75% | |
| 80 | 2% | 70% | |
| 81 | 9% | 68% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 59% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 84 | 5% | 51% | |
| 85 | 10% | 46% | |
| 86 | 2% | 37% | |
| 87 | 4% | 34% | |
| 88 | 10% | 30% | |
| 89 | 7% | 20% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 91 | 3% | 13% | |
| 92 | 3% | 10% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 104 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 93% | |
| 76 | 2% | 90% | |
| 77 | 3% | 88% | |
| 78 | 12% | 84% | |
| 79 | 5% | 72% | |
| 80 | 2% | 67% | |
| 81 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 82 | 7% | 56% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 49% | |
| 84 | 5% | 48% | |
| 85 | 10% | 42% | |
| 86 | 3% | 33% | |
| 87 | 4% | 30% | |
| 88 | 10% | 26% | |
| 89 | 7% | 16% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 3% | 6% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 3% | 87% | |
| 60 | 4% | 83% | |
| 61 | 11% | 80% | |
| 62 | 3% | 69% | |
| 63 | 5% | 66% | |
| 64 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 53% | |
| 66 | 7% | 47% | |
| 67 | 5% | 40% | |
| 68 | 6% | 35% | |
| 69 | 4% | 29% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 24% | |
| 71 | 7% | 23% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 73 | 3% | 16% | |
| 74 | 7% | 13% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 89% | |
| 59 | 4% | 85% | |
| 60 | 4% | 81% | |
| 61 | 11% | 77% | |
| 62 | 3% | 66% | |
| 63 | 5% | 63% | |
| 64 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 65 | 6% | 49% | |
| 66 | 7% | 44% | |
| 67 | 5% | 37% | |
| 68 | 6% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 25% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 71 | 8% | 19% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 11% | |
| 74 | 7% | 9% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0% | 96% | |
| 12 | 0% | 96% | |
| 13 | 0% | 96% | |
| 14 | 0% | 96% | |
| 15 | 0% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0% | 96% | |
| 17 | 0% | 96% | |
| 18 | 0% | 96% | |
| 19 | 0% | 96% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 21 | 0% | 96% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 23 | 0% | 96% | |
| 24 | 0% | 96% | |
| 25 | 0% | 96% | |
| 26 | 0% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 32 | 2% | 95% | |
| 33 | 2% | 94% | |
| 34 | 4% | 92% | |
| 35 | 8% | 87% | |
| 36 | 7% | 80% | |
| 37 | 10% | 73% | |
| 38 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 39 | 23% | 47% | |
| 40 | 6% | 24% | |
| 41 | 9% | 18% | |
| 42 | 2% | 9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CURS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 January 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.48%