Opinion Poll by Avangarde, 22–31 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 37.0% 35.0–39.1% 34.4–39.7% 33.9–40.2% 32.9–41.2%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 23.0% 21.3–24.9% 20.8–25.4% 20.4–25.9% 19.6–26.8%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 11.0% 9.8–12.5% 9.4–12.9% 9.1–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.7% 7.3–11.1% 6.8–11.7%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.7–6.6% 3.4–7.2%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5% 2.6–6.0%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.8%
Alianța pentru Patrie 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Forța Dreptei 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
PRO România 4.1% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 138 129–149 127–153 125–155 120–162
Partidul Național Liberal 93 85 80–95 80–95 78–97 72–100
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 41 36–47 35–48 33–51 30–55
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 32 0–38 0–38 0–40 0–42
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 18 14–22 14–23 13–24 12–27
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 0 0 0 0–19 0–21
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alianța pentru Patrie 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forța Dreptei 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.3% 99.6%  
121 0.2% 99.3%  
122 0.3% 99.2%  
123 0.3% 98.8%  
124 0.1% 98.5%  
125 1.1% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 2% 92%  
130 0.9% 89%  
131 1.1% 89%  
132 3% 87%  
133 9% 85%  
134 8% 76%  
135 8% 68%  
136 5% 60%  
137 2% 55%  
138 7% 53% Median
139 8% 46%  
140 8% 38%  
141 6% 30%  
142 2% 23%  
143 0.4% 21%  
144 0.3% 21%  
145 0.3% 21%  
146 0.6% 20%  
147 2% 20%  
148 1.2% 18%  
149 10% 17%  
150 0.2% 7%  
151 0.2% 7%  
152 0.5% 6%  
153 0.9% 6%  
154 1.4% 5%  
155 2% 4%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.6% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 0.8%  
159 0.1% 0.7%  
160 0% 0.6%  
161 0% 0.6%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0.4% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0.1% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 0.2% 99.5%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 0.2% 99.2%  
75 0.1% 99.0%  
76 0.1% 98.9%  
77 0.3% 98.8%  
78 2% 98%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 7% 95%  
81 6% 88%  
82 8% 82%  
83 4% 74%  
84 17% 71%  
85 9% 54% Median
86 3% 45%  
87 15% 42%  
88 3% 27%  
89 1.2% 24%  
90 3% 23%  
91 2% 20%  
92 2% 18%  
93 2% 17% Last Result
94 1.3% 14%  
95 10% 13%  
96 0.9% 3%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.3%  
100 0.2% 0.6%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 0.2% 99.2%  
32 1.0% 99.0%  
33 0.8% 98% Last Result
34 0.7% 97%  
35 6% 97%  
36 6% 90%  
37 3% 84%  
38 7% 80%  
39 9% 74%  
40 8% 65%  
41 8% 57% Median
42 10% 49%  
43 10% 39%  
44 6% 28%  
45 2% 22%  
46 4% 20%  
47 11% 16%  
48 1.0% 5%  
49 1.5% 4%  
50 0.2% 3%  
51 0.8% 3%  
52 0.1% 2%  
53 1.1% 2%  
54 0% 0.6%  
55 0.1% 0.6%  
56 0% 0.4%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0% 79%  
4 0% 79%  
5 0% 79%  
6 0% 79%  
7 0% 79%  
8 0% 79%  
9 0% 79%  
10 0% 79%  
11 0% 79%  
12 0% 79%  
13 0% 79%  
14 0% 79%  
15 0% 79%  
16 0% 79%  
17 0% 79%  
18 0% 79%  
19 0% 79%  
20 0% 79%  
21 0% 79%  
22 0% 79%  
23 0% 79%  
24 0% 79%  
25 0% 79%  
26 0% 79%  
27 0% 79%  
28 0.3% 79%  
29 2% 79%  
30 5% 77%  
31 12% 72%  
32 11% 60% Median
33 10% 48%  
34 9% 38%  
35 10% 29%  
36 6% 19%  
37 3% 13%  
38 6% 11%  
39 0.9% 4%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.3% 1.4%  
42 0.8% 1.1%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 1.5% 99.7%  
13 1.0% 98%  
14 9% 97%  
15 5% 88%  
16 10% 83%  
17 6% 73%  
18 20% 67% Median
19 9% 46%  
20 12% 37%  
21 15% 25% Last Result
22 5% 11%  
23 2% 6%  
24 1.4% 3%  
25 0.7% 2%  
26 0.5% 1.1%  
27 0.3% 0.6%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 0% 5%  
10 0% 5%  
11 0% 5%  
12 0% 5%  
13 0% 5%  
14 0% 5%  
15 0% 5%  
16 0% 5%  
17 0.7% 5%  
18 1.4% 4%  
19 1.0% 3%  
20 0.7% 2%  
21 0.8% 1.2%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Patrie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Patrie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forța Dreptei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 110 138 0.1% 129–149 127–153 125–155 120–162
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 169 134 0% 116–142 112–146 111–149 108–154
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 134 0% 116–140 112–143 110–145 108–148
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 117 0% 95–123 93–126 91–131 88–138
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 116 0% 95–122 92–124 90–125 88–130
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 114 103 0% 99–116 97–118 95–122 92–131
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 103 0% 98–116 96–116 95–117 90–123
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 85 0% 80–95 80–99 78–103 73–113
Partidul Național Liberal 93 85 0% 80–95 80–95 78–97 72–100
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 33 0% 0–38 0–41 0–48 0–55

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.3% 99.6%  
121 0.2% 99.3%  
122 0.3% 99.2%  
123 0.3% 98.8%  
124 0.1% 98.5%  
125 1.1% 98%  
126 2% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 2% 94%  
129 2% 92%  
130 0.9% 89%  
131 1.1% 89%  
132 3% 87%  
133 9% 85%  
134 8% 76%  
135 8% 68%  
136 5% 60%  
137 2% 55%  
138 7% 53% Median
139 8% 46%  
140 8% 38%  
141 6% 30%  
142 2% 23%  
143 0.4% 21%  
144 0.3% 21%  
145 0.3% 21%  
146 0.6% 20%  
147 2% 20%  
148 1.2% 18%  
149 10% 17%  
150 0.2% 7%  
151 0.2% 7%  
152 0.5% 6%  
153 0.9% 6%  
154 1.4% 5%  
155 2% 4%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.6% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 0.8%  
159 0.1% 0.7%  
160 0% 0.6%  
161 0% 0.6%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0.4% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0.1% 0.1% Majority
166 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.5% 99.6%  
109 0.8% 99.2%  
110 0.7% 98%  
111 1.0% 98%  
112 2% 97%  
113 1.0% 95%  
114 1.1% 94%  
115 0.5% 93%  
116 9% 92%  
117 0.4% 83%  
118 0.7% 83%  
119 0.3% 82%  
120 0.1% 82%  
121 0.6% 82%  
122 0.2% 81%  
123 0.5% 81%  
124 0.2% 80%  
125 0.2% 80%  
126 0.3% 80%  
127 0.8% 80%  
128 1.3% 79%  
129 0.7% 77%  
130 5% 77%  
131 3% 72%  
132 3% 69%  
133 8% 65%  
134 11% 57%  
135 4% 47% Median
136 9% 43%  
137 8% 34%  
138 3% 25%  
139 4% 23%  
140 6% 19%  
141 3% 13%  
142 0.7% 10%  
143 3% 10%  
144 0.7% 7%  
145 1.2% 6%  
146 1.0% 5%  
147 0.7% 4%  
148 0.9% 4%  
149 0.5% 3%  
150 0.8% 2%  
151 0.2% 1.2%  
152 0.2% 1.1%  
153 0.3% 0.9%  
154 0.1% 0.6%  
155 0.3% 0.5%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0.1% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0.5% 99.5%  
109 0.8% 99.0%  
110 1.3% 98%  
111 1.3% 97%  
112 2% 96%  
113 1.2% 94%  
114 1.1% 93%  
115 0.5% 92%  
116 9% 91%  
117 0.4% 82%  
118 0.7% 81%  
119 0.3% 81%  
120 0.1% 80%  
121 0.6% 80%  
122 0.2% 80%  
123 0.5% 79%  
124 0.2% 79%  
125 0.3% 79%  
126 0.3% 78%  
127 0.8% 78%  
128 2% 77%  
129 0.9% 75%  
130 5% 74%  
131 3% 69%  
132 4% 66%  
133 8% 62%  
134 11% 54%  
135 4% 43% Median
136 9% 40%  
137 9% 31%  
138 3% 22%  
139 4% 19%  
140 6% 15%  
141 3% 10%  
142 0.7% 7%  
143 3% 6%  
144 0.7% 4%  
145 1.2% 3%  
146 0.7% 2%  
147 0.3% 1.3%  
148 0.6% 1.0%  
149 0.1% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.4% 99.7%  
89 0.3% 99.3%  
90 1.4% 99.0%  
91 1.0% 98%  
92 0.6% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 1.0% 94%  
95 10% 93%  
96 0.8% 83%  
97 0.6% 83%  
98 0.6% 82%  
99 0.7% 81%  
100 0.1% 81%  
101 0.1% 81%  
102 0.1% 81%  
103 0.2% 80%  
104 0.1% 80%  
105 0.1% 80%  
106 0.2% 80%  
107 0.1% 80%  
108 0.1% 80%  
109 0.2% 80%  
110 0.4% 79%  
111 4% 79%  
112 2% 75%  
113 3% 73%  
114 4% 70%  
115 6% 66%  
116 8% 60%  
117 9% 51% Median
118 4% 42%  
119 9% 38%  
120 6% 29%  
121 5% 23%  
122 7% 19%  
123 2% 11%  
124 2% 10%  
125 2% 8%  
126 0.8% 6%  
127 0.6% 5%  
128 0.3% 4%  
129 0.3% 4%  
130 0.6% 4%  
131 0.8% 3%  
132 0.6% 2%  
133 0.2% 2%  
134 0.3% 2%  
135 0.2% 1.4%  
136 0.2% 1.1%  
137 0.3% 0.9%  
138 0.4% 0.6%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.4% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 99.1%  
90 1.4% 98.8%  
91 1.4% 97%  
92 1.3% 96%  
93 2% 95%  
94 1.0% 93%  
95 10% 92%  
96 0.8% 82%  
97 0.6% 81%  
98 0.6% 81%  
99 0.7% 80%  
100 0.2% 79%  
101 0.2% 79%  
102 0.1% 79%  
103 0.2% 79%  
104 0.1% 79%  
105 0.1% 79%  
106 0.2% 79%  
107 0.1% 78%  
108 0.1% 78%  
109 0.2% 78%  
110 0.4% 78%  
111 4% 78%  
112 2% 73%  
113 3% 71%  
114 4% 68%  
115 7% 64%  
116 9% 57%  
117 9% 49% Median
118 5% 40%  
119 9% 35%  
120 6% 26%  
121 5% 20%  
122 7% 15%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 6%  
125 2% 4%  
126 0.7% 2%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.3% 1.1%  
129 0.2% 0.8%  
130 0.3% 0.7%  
131 0.2% 0.4%  
132 0% 0.2%  
133 0.1% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.4% 99.3%  
94 0.7% 98.9%  
95 2% 98%  
96 0.6% 96%  
97 1.4% 96%  
98 4% 94%  
99 11% 91%  
100 8% 80%  
101 9% 72%  
102 8% 63%  
103 6% 55% Median
104 6% 50%  
105 7% 43%  
106 2% 36%  
107 5% 34%  
108 2% 29%  
109 2% 27%  
110 1.1% 24%  
111 1.5% 23%  
112 2% 22%  
113 1.4% 20%  
114 1.4% 18% Last Result
115 0.8% 17%  
116 10% 16%  
117 0.5% 6%  
118 2% 6%  
119 0.6% 4%  
120 0.5% 4%  
121 0.6% 3%  
122 0.3% 3%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.1% 2%  
125 0.2% 2%  
126 0.1% 1.4%  
127 0.1% 1.3%  
128 0% 1.3%  
129 0.1% 1.2%  
130 0% 1.2%  
131 0.6% 1.1%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0.3% 0.4%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.2% 99.5%  
92 0.3% 99.3%  
93 0.4% 99.0%  
94 0.8% 98.5%  
95 2% 98%  
96 0.9% 96%  
97 2% 95%  
98 4% 93%  
99 11% 89%  
100 9% 78%  
101 9% 69%  
102 8% 60%  
103 6% 52% Median
104 6% 46%  
105 7% 40%  
106 2% 33%  
107 5% 30%  
108 2% 25%  
109 2% 23%  
110 2% 21%  
111 2% 19%  
112 2% 17%  
113 1.4% 15%  
114 1.1% 14% Last Result
115 0.6% 13%  
116 9% 12%  
117 0.4% 3%  
118 0.7% 2%  
119 0.3% 2%  
120 0.1% 1.4%  
121 0.5% 1.3%  
122 0.1% 0.8%  
123 0.5% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 99.5%  
75 0.1% 99.3%  
76 0.1% 99.2%  
77 0.3% 99.1%  
78 2% 98.8%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 7% 96%  
81 6% 89%  
82 8% 84%  
83 3% 76%  
84 16% 73%  
85 9% 57% Median
86 3% 48%  
87 15% 45%  
88 3% 31%  
89 1.1% 28%  
90 3% 27%  
91 2% 24%  
92 0.9% 22%  
93 2% 21% Last Result
94 1.3% 19%  
95 10% 18%  
96 0.9% 8%  
97 0.8% 7%  
98 0.8% 6%  
99 1.0% 6%  
100 0.8% 5%  
101 0.7% 4%  
102 0.4% 3%  
103 0.8% 3%  
104 0.1% 2%  
105 0.1% 2%  
106 0.2% 2%  
107 0.1% 1.5%  
108 0.1% 1.3%  
109 0.1% 1.3%  
110 0% 1.2%  
111 0.1% 1.1%  
112 0% 1.0%  
113 0.8% 1.0%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 0.2% 99.5%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 0.2% 99.2%  
75 0.1% 99.0%  
76 0.1% 98.9%  
77 0.3% 98.8%  
78 2% 98%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 7% 95%  
81 6% 88%  
82 8% 82%  
83 4% 74%  
84 17% 71%  
85 9% 54% Median
86 3% 45%  
87 15% 42%  
88 3% 27%  
89 1.2% 24%  
90 3% 23%  
91 2% 20%  
92 2% 18%  
93 2% 17% Last Result
94 1.3% 14%  
95 10% 13%  
96 0.9% 3%  
97 0.7% 3%  
98 0.6% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.3%  
100 0.2% 0.6%  
101 0% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 0% 80%  
9 0% 80%  
10 0% 80%  
11 0% 80%  
12 0% 80%  
13 0% 80%  
14 0% 80%  
15 0% 80%  
16 0% 80%  
17 0% 80%  
18 0% 80%  
19 0.1% 80%  
20 0.2% 80%  
21 0.7% 80%  
22 0.2% 79%  
23 0% 79%  
24 0% 79%  
25 0% 79%  
26 0% 79%  
27 0% 79%  
28 0% 79%  
29 1.5% 79%  
30 5% 78%  
31 11% 73%  
32 11% 61% Median
33 10% 50%  
34 9% 41%  
35 10% 32%  
36 6% 22%  
37 2% 16%  
38 6% 14%  
39 0.9% 8%  
40 2% 7%  
41 0.3% 5%  
42 0.8% 5%  
43 0.1% 4%  
44 0.1% 4%  
45 0.1% 4%  
46 0.2% 4%  
47 0% 3%  
48 1.0% 3%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0.3% 2%  
51 0.5% 2%  
52 0.2% 1.3%  
53 0.2% 1.0%  
54 0.2% 0.8%  
55 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations