Opinion Poll by CURS, 10–20 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 36.0% 34.1–37.9% 33.6–38.5% 33.2–38.9% 32.3–39.8%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
PRO România 4.1% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 136 125–150 122–152 119–155 115–158
Partidul Național Liberal 93 84 75–93 73–95 72–96 68–101
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 53 47–60 45–61 44–63 41–66
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 0 0–33 0–34 0–35 0–37
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 19 15–22 14–24 14–25 12–27
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–20
PRO România 0 0 0 0–19 0–20 0–22
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0 0 0 0–19

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.3% 99.4%  
117 0.4% 99.1%  
118 0.3% 98.7%  
119 0.9% 98%  
120 1.2% 97%  
121 0.9% 96%  
122 1.4% 95%  
123 0.9% 94%  
124 2% 93%  
125 2% 91%  
126 2% 89%  
127 2% 86%  
128 2% 84%  
129 5% 82%  
130 3% 76%  
131 7% 73%  
132 3% 66%  
133 3% 63%  
134 4% 61%  
135 3% 57%  
136 4% 54% Median
137 2% 50%  
138 3% 48%  
139 4% 45%  
140 3% 41%  
141 2% 38%  
142 2% 36%  
143 2% 34%  
144 4% 32%  
145 4% 29%  
146 4% 25%  
147 4% 21%  
148 2% 17%  
149 2% 14%  
150 2% 12%  
151 4% 10%  
152 1.2% 6%  
153 0.8% 4%  
154 0.9% 4%  
155 0.6% 3%  
156 0.6% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0.2% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.4% 99.3%  
70 0.5% 98.9%  
71 0.7% 98%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 0.9% 94%  
75 4% 93%  
76 1.1% 89%  
77 4% 88%  
78 5% 84%  
79 3% 79%  
80 8% 76%  
81 2% 69%  
82 9% 66%  
83 6% 57%  
84 5% 52% Median
85 6% 46%  
86 4% 40%  
87 4% 36%  
88 8% 32%  
89 2% 24%  
90 4% 22%  
91 6% 18%  
92 2% 12%  
93 4% 10% Last Result
94 0.9% 6%  
95 2% 6%  
96 2% 4%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.6% 1.5%  
99 0.2% 0.9%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.7%  
42 0.5% 99.3%  
43 0.8% 98.8%  
44 1.4% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 3% 94%  
47 4% 92%  
48 5% 88%  
49 7% 82%  
50 6% 76%  
51 8% 70%  
52 6% 62%  
53 11% 56% Median
54 7% 45%  
55 7% 39%  
56 6% 32%  
57 6% 26%  
58 6% 20%  
59 3% 14%  
60 3% 11%  
61 3% 7%  
62 1.2% 5%  
63 1.3% 4%  
64 0.9% 2%  
65 0.6% 1.4%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 0% 47%  
5 0% 47%  
6 0% 47%  
7 0% 47%  
8 0% 47%  
9 0% 47%  
10 0% 47%  
11 0% 47%  
12 0% 47%  
13 0% 47%  
14 0% 47%  
15 0% 47%  
16 0% 47%  
17 0% 47%  
18 0% 47%  
19 0% 47%  
20 0% 47%  
21 0% 47%  
22 0% 47%  
23 0% 47%  
24 0% 47%  
25 0% 47%  
26 0% 47%  
27 0.1% 47%  
28 1.4% 47%  
29 8% 45%  
30 10% 37%  
31 10% 27%  
32 6% 18%  
33 6% 12%  
34 3% 7%  
35 2% 4%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.8%  
13 1.2% 99.4%  
14 4% 98%  
15 7% 95%  
16 8% 88%  
17 15% 80%  
18 14% 65%  
19 16% 51% Median
20 10% 35%  
21 9% 25% Last Result
22 7% 17%  
23 4% 9%  
24 2% 5%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.6% 1.2%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 0% 11%  
9 0% 11%  
10 0% 11%  
11 0% 11%  
12 0% 11%  
13 0% 11%  
14 0% 11%  
15 0% 11%  
16 0% 11%  
17 0.6% 11%  
18 4% 11%  
19 4% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 0% 8%  
8 0% 8%  
9 0% 8%  
10 0% 8%  
11 0% 8%  
12 0% 8%  
13 0% 8%  
14 0% 8%  
15 0% 8%  
16 0% 8%  
17 0.5% 8%  
18 1.3% 8%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.2% 1.2%  
22 0.8% 1.1%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 0% 2%  
9 0% 2%  
10 0% 2%  
11 0% 2%  
12 0% 2%  
13 0% 2%  
14 0% 2%  
15 0% 2%  
16 0% 2%  
17 0.5% 2%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.2% 0.7%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 110 139 0.4% 126–151 123–155 121–158 116–164
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 169 120 0% 104–135 102–138 99–142 94–146
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 116 0% 103–133 99–135 97–137 93–140
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 114 105 0% 94–116 92–120 90–124 86–128
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 101 0% 85–117 83–120 80–124 76–129
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 96 0% 83–115 80–117 78–119 75–123
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 103 0% 93–113 90–114 88–117 84–121
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 85 0% 77–96 75–101 73–104 69–109
Partidul Național Liberal 93 84 0% 75–93 73–95 72–96 68–101
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 19 0% 0–34 0–45 0–48 0–50

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100% Last Result
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.2% 99.7%  
117 0.3% 99.5%  
118 0.2% 99.1%  
119 0.7% 98.9%  
120 0.6% 98%  
121 0.8% 98%  
122 1.2% 97%  
123 0.8% 96%  
124 2% 95%  
125 2% 93%  
126 2% 91%  
127 2% 89%  
128 2% 87%  
129 5% 85%  
130 3% 80%  
131 7% 77%  
132 2% 70%  
133 2% 68%  
134 3% 65%  
135 3% 62%  
136 4% 59% Median
137 2% 55%  
138 3% 54%  
139 4% 51%  
140 3% 47%  
141 3% 44%  
142 2% 42%  
143 2% 40%  
144 4% 38%  
145 4% 34%  
146 4% 30%  
147 4% 26%  
148 3% 22%  
149 3% 19%  
150 3% 17%  
151 4% 14%  
152 1.4% 10%  
153 1.1% 8%  
154 1.3% 7%  
155 1.1% 6%  
156 1.0% 5%  
157 1.2% 4%  
158 0.6% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 1.3%  
162 0.3% 1.1%  
163 0.1% 0.7%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.2% 0.4% Majority
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.8%  
94 0.3% 99.6%  
95 0.2% 99.3%  
96 0.6% 99.2%  
97 0.2% 98.6%  
98 0.5% 98%  
99 1.1% 98%  
100 0.8% 97%  
101 0.5% 96%  
102 0.9% 95%  
103 4% 94% Median
104 0.8% 91%  
105 1.3% 90%  
106 8% 89%  
107 3% 80%  
108 0.7% 78%  
109 2% 77%  
110 10% 75%  
111 0.6% 65%  
112 2% 65%  
113 3% 63%  
114 3% 60%  
115 0.3% 57%  
116 1.1% 56%  
117 3% 55%  
118 1.0% 52%  
119 0.9% 51%  
120 0.8% 50%  
121 2% 49%  
122 1.4% 47%  
123 1.4% 46%  
124 2% 44%  
125 2% 42%  
126 3% 40%  
127 2% 37%  
128 5% 35%  
129 4% 30%  
130 3% 26%  
131 4% 23%  
132 2% 19%  
133 4% 17%  
134 2% 13%  
135 2% 11%  
136 2% 9%  
137 0.7% 7%  
138 1.0% 6%  
139 1.2% 5%  
140 0.7% 4%  
141 0.4% 3%  
142 0.9% 3%  
143 0.5% 2%  
144 0.4% 1.3%  
145 0.3% 1.0%  
146 0.1% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.5%  
148 0.2% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0.1% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.5%  
94 0.5% 99.3%  
95 0.4% 98.8%  
96 0.7% 98%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 1.3% 97%  
99 1.3% 96%  
100 0.9% 95%  
101 1.4% 94%  
102 2% 92%  
103 4% 91% Median
104 1.2% 87%  
105 2% 86%  
106 8% 84%  
107 3% 75%  
108 1.2% 73%  
109 3% 71%  
110 10% 69%  
111 0.6% 59%  
112 2% 59%  
113 3% 57%  
114 3% 54%  
115 0.5% 51%  
116 1.1% 51%  
117 3% 49%  
118 1.1% 47%  
119 1.0% 46%  
120 1.0% 45%  
121 2% 44%  
122 1.4% 42%  
123 2% 41%  
124 2% 39%  
125 2% 37%  
126 3% 34%  
127 2% 31%  
128 4% 29%  
129 4% 25%  
130 3% 21%  
131 4% 18%  
132 2% 14%  
133 4% 12%  
134 2% 8%  
135 2% 6%  
136 2% 4%  
137 0.6% 3%  
138 0.6% 2%  
139 0.4% 1.4%  
140 0.6% 1.1%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.3% 99.5%  
87 0.2% 99.3%  
88 0.7% 99.1%  
89 0.8% 98%  
90 1.0% 98%  
91 0.8% 97%  
92 2% 96%  
93 2% 93%  
94 2% 91%  
95 2% 89%  
96 3% 87%  
97 2% 84%  
98 3% 82%  
99 10% 79%  
100 4% 69%  
101 3% 66%  
102 4% 63%  
103 6% 59% Median
104 2% 53%  
105 2% 51%  
106 10% 48%  
107 3% 39%  
108 1.3% 36%  
109 3% 34%  
110 10% 32%  
111 0.9% 21%  
112 2% 20%  
113 3% 18%  
114 3% 15% Last Result
115 0.3% 11%  
116 1.3% 11%  
117 3% 10%  
118 0.8% 6%  
119 0.4% 6%  
120 0.4% 5%  
121 2% 5%  
122 0.1% 3%  
123 0.2% 3%  
124 0.8% 3%  
125 0.4% 2%  
126 0% 2%  
127 0.5% 2%  
128 0.6% 1.0%  
129 0% 0.4%  
130 0% 0.3%  
131 0.2% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 0.3% 99.4%  
78 0.8% 99.1%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 1.4% 98%  
81 0.5% 97%  
82 0.8% 96%  
83 4% 95%  
84 1.4% 92% Median
85 4% 90%  
86 3% 87%  
87 2% 84%  
88 8% 82%  
89 1.3% 74%  
90 3% 73%  
91 5% 70%  
92 2% 65%  
93 4% 63%  
94 0.9% 59%  
95 2% 58%  
96 2% 56%  
97 1.1% 54%  
98 0.9% 53%  
99 0.8% 52%  
100 0.6% 51%  
101 1.0% 51%  
102 1.3% 50%  
103 1.4% 49%  
104 2% 47%  
105 1.2% 46%  
106 1.4% 44%  
107 2% 43%  
108 4% 41%  
109 2% 37%  
110 2% 34%  
111 6% 33%  
112 6% 27%  
113 2% 21%  
114 2% 19%  
115 5% 17%  
116 3% 13%  
117 1.0% 10%  
118 1.5% 9%  
119 2% 8%  
120 1.3% 6%  
121 0.5% 5%  
122 0.3% 4%  
123 0.7% 4%  
124 0.7% 3%  
125 0.7% 2%  
126 0.2% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.4%  
128 0.5% 1.0%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 0.4% 98.8%  
78 1.5% 98%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 2% 97%  
81 0.7% 95%  
82 0.9% 94%  
83 5% 93%  
84 1.4% 88% Median
85 4% 87%  
86 3% 82%  
87 2% 79%  
88 8% 77%  
89 1.3% 69%  
90 3% 68%  
91 5% 64%  
92 2% 59%  
93 4% 57%  
94 0.9% 53%  
95 2% 52%  
96 2% 51%  
97 0.6% 48%  
98 0.8% 48%  
99 0.5% 47%  
100 0.5% 47%  
101 1.1% 46%  
102 1.1% 45%  
103 1.0% 44%  
104 1.3% 43%  
105 1.1% 42%  
106 2% 40%  
107 2% 39%  
108 4% 36%  
109 2% 32%  
110 2% 30%  
111 6% 28%  
112 6% 22%  
113 2% 16%  
114 2% 14%  
115 5% 13%  
116 3% 8%  
117 0.8% 5%  
118 1.3% 4%  
119 1.3% 3%  
120 0.9% 2%  
121 0.2% 1.0%  
122 0.2% 0.8%  
123 0.3% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.6%  
85 0.4% 99.4%  
86 0.4% 99.0%  
87 0.3% 98.6%  
88 1.0% 98%  
89 1.0% 97%  
90 1.3% 96%  
91 1.3% 95%  
92 3% 94%  
93 3% 90%  
94 3% 88%  
95 3% 85%  
96 3% 82%  
97 2% 79%  
98 4% 77%  
99 10% 73%  
100 4% 63%  
101 4% 59%  
102 5% 55%  
103 6% 51% Median
104 2% 45%  
105 3% 42%  
106 9% 39%  
107 3% 30%  
108 2% 27%  
109 3% 26%  
110 10% 23%  
111 0.7% 13%  
112 2% 12%  
113 3% 10%  
114 3% 8% Last Result
115 0.2% 5%  
116 0.9% 5%  
117 2% 4%  
118 0.5% 2%  
119 0.2% 1.1%  
120 0.3% 0.9%  
121 0.3% 0.6%  
122 0.1% 0.3%  
123 0% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 0.4% 99.4%  
71 0.4% 99.1%  
72 1.2% 98.7%  
73 2% 98%  
74 0.9% 96%  
75 3% 95%  
76 0.8% 92%  
77 4% 91%  
78 4% 88%  
79 3% 84%  
80 6% 82%  
81 2% 75%  
82 9% 73%  
83 5% 65%  
84 5% 60% Median
85 6% 55%  
86 4% 49%  
87 4% 45%  
88 8% 42%  
89 3% 34%  
90 3% 31%  
91 6% 28%  
92 2% 21%  
93 4% 19% Last Result
94 1.1% 15%  
95 2% 14%  
96 3% 12%  
97 1.1% 9%  
98 1.4% 8%  
99 0.8% 6%  
100 0.5% 6%  
101 0.6% 5%  
102 0.9% 4%  
103 0.9% 4%  
104 0.4% 3%  
105 0.4% 2%  
106 0.3% 2%  
107 0.5% 2%  
108 0.1% 1.0%  
109 0.5% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.4% 99.3%  
70 0.5% 98.9%  
71 0.7% 98%  
72 1.2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 0.9% 94%  
75 4% 93%  
76 1.1% 89%  
77 4% 88%  
78 5% 84%  
79 3% 79%  
80 8% 76%  
81 2% 69%  
82 9% 66%  
83 6% 57%  
84 5% 52% Median
85 6% 46%  
86 4% 40%  
87 4% 36%  
88 8% 32%  
89 2% 24%  
90 4% 22%  
91 6% 18%  
92 2% 12%  
93 4% 10% Last Result
94 0.9% 6%  
95 2% 6%  
96 2% 4%  
97 0.5% 2%  
98 0.6% 1.5%  
99 0.2% 0.9%  
100 0.2% 0.8%  
101 0.3% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Median
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 0% 53%  
9 0% 53%  
10 0% 53%  
11 0% 53%  
12 0% 53%  
13 0% 53%  
14 0% 53%  
15 0% 53%  
16 0% 53%  
17 0% 53%  
18 0% 53%  
19 4% 53%  
20 2% 49%  
21 0.1% 47%  
22 0% 47%  
23 0% 47%  
24 0% 47%  
25 0% 47%  
26 0% 47%  
27 0.1% 47%  
28 0.7% 47%  
29 6% 46%  
30 9% 40%  
31 9% 31%  
32 5% 22%  
33 5% 17%  
34 3% 11%  
35 2% 8%  
36 1.1% 7%  
37 0.5% 6%  
38 0.2% 5%  
39 0.1% 5%  
40 0% 5%  
41 0% 5%  
42 0% 5%  
43 0% 5%  
44 0% 5%  
45 0.1% 5%  
46 0.8% 5%  
47 1.3% 4%  
48 1.2% 3%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations