Opinion Poll by CURS, 10–20 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Social Democrat |
28.9% |
33.0% |
31.2–34.9% |
30.7–35.4% |
30.3–35.9% |
29.5–36.8% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
25.2% |
21.0% |
19.5–22.6% |
19.1–23.1% |
18.7–23.5% |
18.0–24.3% |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor |
9.1% |
16.0% |
14.7–17.5% |
14.3–17.9% |
14.0–18.3% |
13.4–19.0% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
15.4% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.7–10.5% |
7.4–10.8% |
7.0–11.4% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
5.7% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.4% |
3.5–6.9% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
4.8% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.4% |
3.5–6.9% |
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-partidulsocialdemocrat.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
99 |
0% |
100% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
106 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
107 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
108 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
109 |
2% |
95% |
|
110 |
3% |
94% |
Last Result |
111 |
4% |
91% |
|
112 |
3% |
87% |
|
113 |
4% |
84% |
|
114 |
4% |
80% |
|
115 |
4% |
76% |
|
116 |
5% |
72% |
|
117 |
6% |
67% |
|
118 |
6% |
61% |
|
119 |
4% |
55% |
|
120 |
5% |
50% |
Median |
121 |
6% |
46% |
|
122 |
5% |
40% |
|
123 |
4% |
35% |
|
124 |
5% |
31% |
|
125 |
3% |
25% |
|
126 |
4% |
22% |
|
127 |
1.4% |
18% |
|
128 |
2% |
16% |
|
129 |
2% |
14% |
|
130 |
2% |
12% |
|
131 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
132 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
133 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
134 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
135 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
136 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
137 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
138 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
139 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
140 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
141 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
142 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
143 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
144 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
145 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
146 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
147 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
148 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
149 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
150 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
151 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-partidulnaționalliberal.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
4% |
89% |
|
71 |
6% |
85% |
|
72 |
5% |
79% |
|
73 |
7% |
74% |
|
74 |
7% |
67% |
|
75 |
5% |
61% |
|
76 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
77 |
6% |
46% |
|
78 |
5% |
40% |
|
79 |
8% |
35% |
|
80 |
5% |
27% |
|
81 |
5% |
22% |
|
82 |
3% |
17% |
|
83 |
3% |
14% |
|
84 |
2% |
11% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
86 |
2% |
8% |
|
87 |
2% |
6% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
94 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-alianțapentruunirearomânilor.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
3% |
95% |
|
52 |
3% |
93% |
|
53 |
6% |
90% |
|
54 |
7% |
84% |
|
55 |
5% |
77% |
|
56 |
10% |
72% |
|
57 |
10% |
62% |
|
58 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
59 |
6% |
43% |
|
60 |
6% |
37% |
|
61 |
5% |
30% |
|
62 |
7% |
26% |
|
63 |
5% |
19% |
|
64 |
2% |
14% |
|
65 |
3% |
12% |
|
66 |
4% |
9% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-alianța2020usr-plus.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
87% |
|
2 |
0% |
87% |
|
3 |
0% |
87% |
|
4 |
0% |
87% |
|
5 |
0% |
87% |
|
6 |
0% |
87% |
|
7 |
0% |
87% |
|
8 |
0% |
87% |
|
9 |
0% |
87% |
|
10 |
0% |
87% |
|
11 |
0% |
87% |
|
12 |
0% |
87% |
|
13 |
0% |
87% |
|
14 |
0% |
87% |
|
15 |
0% |
87% |
|
16 |
0% |
87% |
|
17 |
0% |
87% |
|
18 |
0% |
87% |
|
19 |
0% |
87% |
|
20 |
0% |
87% |
|
21 |
0% |
87% |
|
22 |
0% |
87% |
|
23 |
0% |
87% |
|
24 |
0% |
87% |
|
25 |
0% |
87% |
|
26 |
0% |
87% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
87% |
|
28 |
3% |
87% |
|
29 |
5% |
84% |
|
30 |
10% |
78% |
|
31 |
13% |
69% |
|
32 |
12% |
56% |
Median |
33 |
10% |
44% |
|
34 |
12% |
34% |
|
35 |
7% |
22% |
|
36 |
6% |
15% |
|
37 |
4% |
9% |
|
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-uniuneademocratămaghiarădinromânia.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
14 |
6% |
97% |
|
15 |
9% |
91% |
|
16 |
13% |
83% |
|
17 |
14% |
69% |
|
18 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
19 |
12% |
41% |
|
20 |
12% |
29% |
|
21 |
7% |
17% |
Last Result |
22 |
5% |
10% |
|
23 |
2% |
5% |
|
24 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-partidulmișcareapopulară.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
52% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
48% |
|
2 |
0% |
48% |
|
3 |
0% |
48% |
|
4 |
0% |
48% |
|
5 |
0% |
48% |
|
6 |
0% |
48% |
|
7 |
0% |
48% |
|
8 |
0% |
48% |
|
9 |
0% |
48% |
|
10 |
0% |
48% |
|
11 |
0% |
48% |
|
12 |
0% |
48% |
|
13 |
0% |
48% |
|
14 |
0% |
48% |
|
15 |
0% |
48% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
48% |
|
17 |
3% |
48% |
|
18 |
14% |
44% |
|
19 |
11% |
30% |
|
20 |
9% |
19% |
|
21 |
5% |
11% |
|
22 |
3% |
6% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-seats-pmf-partidulputeriiumanistesocial-liberal.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0% |
6% |
|
7 |
0% |
6% |
|
8 |
0% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
6% |
|
10 |
0% |
6% |
|
11 |
0% |
6% |
|
12 |
0% |
6% |
|
13 |
0% |
6% |
|
14 |
0% |
6% |
|
15 |
0% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
17 |
2% |
6% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
133 |
0% |
119–144 |
111–147 |
108–148 |
101–152 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
125 |
0% |
109–133 |
102–136 |
97–138 |
93–141 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
148 |
115 |
0% |
101–127 |
91–129 |
87–131 |
80–135 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
104 |
0% |
92–115 |
90–118 |
88–123 |
85–129 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
148 |
107 |
0% |
89–115 |
82–117 |
79–119 |
74–123 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
94 |
0% |
86–103 |
84–107 |
83–110 |
79–115 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
93 |
86 |
0% |
74–97 |
72–101 |
70–104 |
68–109 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
93 |
76 |
0% |
69–84 |
68–87 |
66–89 |
63–94 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
55 |
36 |
0% |
21–53 |
0–54 |
0–56 |
0–58 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–a2020–pmp–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
108 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
111 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
113 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
114 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
116 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
117 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
118 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
119 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
120 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
121 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
122 |
2% |
88% |
|
123 |
2% |
86% |
|
124 |
2% |
84% |
|
125 |
3% |
82% |
|
126 |
2% |
79% |
Median |
127 |
3% |
76% |
|
128 |
3% |
73% |
|
129 |
5% |
70% |
|
130 |
5% |
66% |
|
131 |
3% |
61% |
|
132 |
5% |
57% |
|
133 |
4% |
53% |
|
134 |
3% |
49% |
|
135 |
4% |
46% |
|
136 |
5% |
42% |
|
137 |
3% |
37% |
|
138 |
5% |
34% |
|
139 |
4% |
29% |
|
140 |
2% |
26% |
|
141 |
3% |
23% |
|
142 |
3% |
20% |
|
143 |
4% |
17% |
|
144 |
3% |
13% |
|
145 |
2% |
10% |
|
146 |
2% |
8% |
|
147 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
148 |
2% |
4% |
|
149 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
150 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
151 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
152 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
153 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
154 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
155 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
156 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–a2020–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
101 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
102 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
106 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
108 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
109 |
0.6% |
90% |
|
110 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
111 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
112 |
0.9% |
88% |
|
113 |
0.9% |
87% |
|
114 |
0.9% |
86% |
|
115 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
116 |
2% |
84% |
|
117 |
2% |
82% |
|
118 |
3% |
80% |
|
119 |
4% |
76% |
|
120 |
4% |
72% |
|
121 |
4% |
68% |
|
122 |
5% |
64% |
|
123 |
3% |
60% |
|
124 |
5% |
56% |
|
125 |
6% |
51% |
|
126 |
4% |
45% |
Median |
127 |
5% |
41% |
|
128 |
4% |
36% |
|
129 |
6% |
32% |
|
130 |
6% |
27% |
|
131 |
3% |
21% |
|
132 |
4% |
17% |
|
133 |
3% |
13% |
|
134 |
2% |
10% |
|
135 |
2% |
8% |
|
136 |
2% |
6% |
|
137 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
138 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
139 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
140 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
141 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
143 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
144 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
145 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
146 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–a2020–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
101 |
1.1% |
91% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
103 |
2% |
88% |
|
104 |
2% |
87% |
|
105 |
2% |
85% |
|
106 |
2% |
83% |
|
107 |
3% |
81% |
|
108 |
2% |
78% |
Median |
109 |
4% |
75% |
|
110 |
3% |
72% |
|
111 |
4% |
68% |
|
112 |
4% |
64% |
|
113 |
4% |
60% |
|
114 |
3% |
55% |
|
115 |
4% |
53% |
|
116 |
3% |
49% |
|
117 |
3% |
46% |
|
118 |
4% |
43% |
|
119 |
3% |
40% |
|
120 |
3% |
36% |
|
121 |
4% |
33% |
|
122 |
4% |
30% |
|
123 |
3% |
25% |
|
124 |
2% |
22% |
|
125 |
4% |
20% |
|
126 |
3% |
16% |
|
127 |
3% |
13% |
|
128 |
3% |
10% |
|
129 |
2% |
7% |
|
130 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
131 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
132 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
133 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
134 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
135 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
136 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
138 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–pmp–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
86 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
90 |
2% |
96% |
|
91 |
2% |
94% |
|
92 |
3% |
92% |
|
93 |
3% |
89% |
|
94 |
4% |
86% |
Median |
95 |
3% |
83% |
|
96 |
5% |
80% |
|
97 |
5% |
75% |
|
98 |
2% |
70% |
|
99 |
6% |
68% |
|
100 |
3% |
63% |
|
101 |
2% |
60% |
|
102 |
4% |
57% |
|
103 |
2% |
53% |
|
104 |
4% |
51% |
|
105 |
3% |
48% |
|
106 |
5% |
45% |
|
107 |
4% |
40% |
|
108 |
4% |
36% |
|
109 |
4% |
32% |
|
110 |
4% |
28% |
|
111 |
4% |
24% |
|
112 |
4% |
20% |
|
113 |
3% |
17% |
|
114 |
2% |
14% |
Last Result |
115 |
2% |
12% |
|
116 |
2% |
9% |
|
117 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
118 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
119 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
120 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
121 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
122 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
123 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
124 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
125 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
126 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
127 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
129 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
130 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
131 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
132 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
133 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
134 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–a2020.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
86 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
90% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
88% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
88% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
88% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
96 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
97 |
0.8% |
86% |
|
98 |
1.4% |
85% |
|
99 |
2% |
84% |
|
100 |
3% |
82% |
|
101 |
3% |
79% |
|
102 |
2% |
76% |
|
103 |
6% |
74% |
|
104 |
5% |
68% |
|
105 |
5% |
63% |
|
106 |
5% |
58% |
|
107 |
7% |
53% |
|
108 |
5% |
47% |
Median |
109 |
5% |
42% |
|
110 |
6% |
37% |
|
111 |
6% |
31% |
|
112 |
5% |
25% |
|
113 |
5% |
20% |
|
114 |
3% |
15% |
|
115 |
4% |
13% |
|
116 |
2% |
9% |
|
117 |
2% |
7% |
|
118 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
119 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
120 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
121 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
122 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
123 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
124 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
126 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–udmr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
85 |
3% |
95% |
|
86 |
3% |
92% |
|
87 |
3% |
89% |
|
88 |
6% |
86% |
|
89 |
4% |
80% |
|
90 |
5% |
75% |
|
91 |
6% |
71% |
|
92 |
6% |
65% |
|
93 |
7% |
59% |
|
94 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
95 |
5% |
47% |
|
96 |
7% |
43% |
|
97 |
7% |
35% |
|
98 |
3% |
28% |
|
99 |
6% |
25% |
|
100 |
3% |
19% |
|
101 |
2% |
16% |
|
102 |
3% |
14% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
104 |
2% |
10% |
|
105 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
106 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
107 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
109 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
114 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
115 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
117 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
96% |
|
73 |
3% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
91% |
|
75 |
3% |
89% |
|
76 |
4% |
85% |
Median |
77 |
3% |
81% |
|
78 |
3% |
78% |
|
79 |
7% |
75% |
|
80 |
3% |
68% |
|
81 |
4% |
65% |
|
82 |
2% |
61% |
|
83 |
3% |
59% |
|
84 |
2% |
56% |
|
85 |
2% |
54% |
|
86 |
3% |
52% |
|
87 |
3% |
49% |
|
88 |
4% |
46% |
|
89 |
6% |
42% |
|
90 |
3% |
36% |
|
91 |
4% |
33% |
|
92 |
4% |
30% |
|
93 |
3% |
25% |
Last Result |
94 |
3% |
22% |
|
95 |
4% |
19% |
|
96 |
5% |
16% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
98 |
2% |
10% |
|
99 |
1.5% |
8% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
108 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-pnl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
95% |
|
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
4% |
89% |
|
71 |
6% |
85% |
|
72 |
5% |
79% |
|
73 |
7% |
74% |
|
74 |
7% |
67% |
|
75 |
5% |
61% |
|
76 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
77 |
6% |
46% |
|
78 |
5% |
40% |
|
79 |
8% |
35% |
|
80 |
5% |
27% |
|
81 |
5% |
22% |
|
82 |
3% |
17% |
|
83 |
3% |
14% |
|
84 |
2% |
11% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
86 |
2% |
8% |
|
87 |
2% |
6% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
89 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
94 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-20-CURS-coalitions-seats-pmf-a2020–pmp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
94% |
|
2 |
0% |
94% |
|
3 |
0% |
94% |
|
4 |
0% |
94% |
|
5 |
0% |
94% |
|
6 |
0% |
94% |
|
7 |
0% |
94% |
|
8 |
0% |
94% |
|
9 |
0% |
94% |
|
10 |
0% |
94% |
|
11 |
0% |
94% |
|
12 |
0% |
94% |
|
13 |
0% |
94% |
|
14 |
0% |
94% |
|
15 |
0% |
94% |
|
16 |
0% |
94% |
|
17 |
0% |
94% |
|
18 |
0% |
94% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
20 |
2% |
93% |
|
21 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
88% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
27 |
0% |
87% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
87% |
|
30 |
4% |
86% |
|
31 |
6% |
82% |
|
32 |
6% |
77% |
Median |
33 |
7% |
71% |
|
34 |
7% |
64% |
|
35 |
4% |
57% |
|
36 |
4% |
53% |
|
37 |
3% |
49% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
46% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
45% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
43% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
42% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
46 |
2% |
42% |
|
47 |
4% |
40% |
|
48 |
3% |
36% |
|
49 |
4% |
33% |
|
50 |
7% |
29% |
|
51 |
5% |
22% |
|
52 |
5% |
17% |
|
53 |
4% |
13% |
|
54 |
3% |
8% |
|
55 |
2% |
5% |
Last Result |
56 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CURS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–20 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1105
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.20%