Opinion Poll by INSOMAR, 28–31 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor |
9.1% |
27.0% |
25.3–28.8% |
24.8–29.3% |
24.4–29.8% |
23.5–30.7% |
Partidul Social Democrat |
28.9% |
25.0% |
23.4–26.8% |
22.9–27.3% |
22.5–27.8% |
21.7–28.7% |
Partidul Național Liberal |
25.2% |
15.0% |
13.7–16.6% |
13.3–17.0% |
13.0–17.4% |
12.4–18.1% |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
15.4% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.3% |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
5.7% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
Partidul S.O.S. România |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.8% |
Forța Dreptei |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
4.8% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.3–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
|
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
102 |
2% |
97% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
104 |
3% |
94% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
106 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
108 |
3% |
89% |
|
109 |
2% |
86% |
|
110 |
5% |
84% |
|
111 |
3% |
79% |
|
112 |
3% |
76% |
|
113 |
3% |
73% |
|
114 |
14% |
70% |
|
115 |
5% |
56% |
|
116 |
5% |
51% |
Median |
117 |
12% |
46% |
|
118 |
4% |
34% |
|
119 |
4% |
30% |
|
120 |
2% |
26% |
|
121 |
3% |
24% |
|
122 |
4% |
21% |
|
123 |
3% |
17% |
|
124 |
2% |
14% |
|
125 |
5% |
12% |
|
126 |
2% |
7% |
|
127 |
2% |
6% |
|
128 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
129 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
130 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
131 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
132 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
133 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
134 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
135 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
136 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
137 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Social Democrat
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
96 |
3% |
96% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
92% |
|
99 |
3% |
91% |
|
100 |
3% |
87% |
|
101 |
2% |
85% |
|
102 |
3% |
83% |
|
103 |
3% |
80% |
|
104 |
2% |
78% |
|
105 |
4% |
76% |
|
106 |
7% |
72% |
|
107 |
3% |
65% |
|
108 |
5% |
62% |
|
109 |
7% |
57% |
|
110 |
3% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
111 |
6% |
47% |
|
112 |
3% |
41% |
|
113 |
10% |
38% |
|
114 |
10% |
29% |
|
115 |
5% |
19% |
|
116 |
4% |
14% |
|
117 |
2% |
10% |
|
118 |
2% |
8% |
|
119 |
4% |
7% |
|
120 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
121 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
122 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
123 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
124 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
125 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
126 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
127 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
128 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Național Liberal
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
57 |
2% |
95% |
|
58 |
4% |
93% |
|
59 |
3% |
89% |
|
60 |
3% |
86% |
|
61 |
6% |
83% |
|
62 |
4% |
77% |
|
63 |
8% |
74% |
|
64 |
4% |
66% |
|
65 |
9% |
62% |
|
66 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
39% |
|
68 |
9% |
29% |
|
69 |
4% |
21% |
|
70 |
4% |
16% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
11% |
|
6 |
0% |
11% |
|
7 |
0% |
11% |
|
8 |
0% |
11% |
|
9 |
0% |
11% |
|
10 |
0% |
11% |
|
11 |
0% |
11% |
|
12 |
0% |
11% |
|
13 |
0% |
11% |
|
14 |
0% |
11% |
|
15 |
0% |
11% |
|
16 |
0% |
11% |
|
17 |
0% |
11% |
|
18 |
0% |
11% |
|
19 |
0% |
11% |
|
20 |
0% |
11% |
|
21 |
0% |
11% |
|
22 |
0% |
11% |
|
23 |
0% |
11% |
|
24 |
0% |
11% |
|
25 |
0% |
11% |
|
26 |
0% |
11% |
|
27 |
0% |
11% |
|
28 |
0% |
11% |
|
29 |
0% |
11% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
32 |
3% |
10% |
|
33 |
4% |
7% |
|
34 |
2% |
4% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
13 |
5% |
97% |
|
14 |
7% |
92% |
|
15 |
17% |
85% |
|
16 |
14% |
68% |
|
17 |
11% |
55% |
Median |
18 |
20% |
44% |
|
19 |
8% |
24% |
|
20 |
6% |
16% |
|
21 |
4% |
9% |
Last Result |
22 |
2% |
5% |
|
23 |
2% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul S.O.S. România
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
8% |
|
6 |
0% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
8% |
|
8 |
0% |
8% |
|
9 |
0% |
8% |
|
10 |
0% |
8% |
|
11 |
0% |
8% |
|
12 |
0% |
8% |
|
13 |
0% |
8% |
|
14 |
0% |
8% |
|
15 |
0% |
8% |
|
16 |
0% |
8% |
|
17 |
0% |
8% |
|
18 |
0% |
8% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
20 |
2% |
7% |
|
21 |
2% |
5% |
|
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forța Dreptei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Mișcarea Populară
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
169 |
84 |
0% |
76–104 |
74–111 |
73–112 |
69–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
169 |
84 |
0% |
76–104 |
74–111 |
73–112 |
69–116 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
148 |
67 |
0% |
60–87 |
58–96 |
57–97 |
53–99 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS |
148 |
67 |
0% |
60–87 |
58–96 |
57–97 |
53–99 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
114 |
82 |
0% |
74–90 |
73–91 |
70–92 |
66–96 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România |
114 |
82 |
0% |
74–90 |
73–91 |
70–92 |
66–96 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
93 |
66 |
0% |
58–71 |
57–74 |
54–75 |
52–79 |
Partidul Național Liberal |
93 |
66 |
0% |
58–71 |
57–73 |
54–75 |
52–79 |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară |
55 |
0 |
0% |
0–32 |
0–33 |
0–34 |
0–36 |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
74 |
2% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
94% |
|
76 |
3% |
93% |
|
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
3% |
87% |
|
79 |
4% |
85% |
|
80 |
3% |
80% |
|
81 |
13% |
78% |
|
82 |
5% |
65% |
|
83 |
8% |
60% |
Median |
84 |
5% |
52% |
|
85 |
12% |
47% |
|
86 |
5% |
35% |
|
87 |
4% |
30% |
|
88 |
2% |
26% |
|
89 |
2% |
24% |
|
90 |
2% |
22% |
|
91 |
4% |
20% |
|
92 |
2% |
16% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
12% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
104 |
2% |
10% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
106 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
109 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
111 |
2% |
6% |
|
112 |
3% |
4% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
74 |
2% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
94% |
|
76 |
3% |
93% |
|
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
3% |
87% |
|
79 |
4% |
85% |
|
80 |
3% |
80% |
|
81 |
13% |
78% |
|
82 |
5% |
65% |
|
83 |
8% |
60% |
Median |
84 |
5% |
52% |
|
85 |
12% |
47% |
|
86 |
5% |
35% |
|
87 |
4% |
30% |
|
88 |
2% |
26% |
|
89 |
2% |
24% |
|
90 |
2% |
22% |
|
91 |
4% |
20% |
|
92 |
2% |
16% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
104 |
2% |
10% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
106 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
109 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
111 |
2% |
6% |
|
112 |
3% |
4% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
117 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
|
149 |
0% |
0% |
|
150 |
0% |
0% |
|
151 |
0% |
0% |
|
152 |
0% |
0% |
|
153 |
0% |
0% |
|
154 |
0% |
0% |
|
155 |
0% |
0% |
|
156 |
0% |
0% |
|
157 |
0% |
0% |
|
158 |
0% |
0% |
|
159 |
0% |
0% |
|
160 |
0% |
0% |
|
161 |
0% |
0% |
|
162 |
0% |
0% |
|
163 |
0% |
0% |
|
164 |
0% |
0% |
|
165 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
166 |
0% |
0% |
|
167 |
0% |
0% |
|
168 |
0% |
0% |
|
169 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
96% |
|
59 |
2% |
93% |
|
60 |
2% |
91% |
|
61 |
5% |
88% |
|
62 |
3% |
83% |
|
63 |
7% |
80% |
|
64 |
3% |
73% |
|
65 |
7% |
71% |
|
66 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
51% |
|
68 |
8% |
41% |
|
69 |
4% |
32% |
|
70 |
4% |
28% |
|
71 |
4% |
24% |
|
72 |
2% |
20% |
|
73 |
2% |
18% |
|
74 |
2% |
16% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
96 |
2% |
6% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
96% |
|
59 |
2% |
93% |
|
60 |
2% |
91% |
|
61 |
5% |
88% |
|
62 |
3% |
83% |
|
63 |
7% |
80% |
|
64 |
3% |
73% |
|
65 |
7% |
71% |
|
66 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
50% |
|
68 |
8% |
40% |
|
69 |
4% |
32% |
|
70 |
4% |
28% |
|
71 |
4% |
24% |
|
72 |
2% |
20% |
|
73 |
2% |
18% |
|
74 |
2% |
16% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
12% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
96 |
2% |
6% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
124 |
0% |
0% |
|
125 |
0% |
0% |
|
126 |
0% |
0% |
|
127 |
0% |
0% |
|
128 |
0% |
0% |
|
129 |
0% |
0% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
131 |
0% |
0% |
|
132 |
0% |
0% |
|
133 |
0% |
0% |
|
134 |
0% |
0% |
|
135 |
0% |
0% |
|
136 |
0% |
0% |
|
137 |
0% |
0% |
|
138 |
0% |
0% |
|
139 |
0% |
0% |
|
140 |
0% |
0% |
|
141 |
0% |
0% |
|
142 |
0% |
0% |
|
143 |
0% |
0% |
|
144 |
0% |
0% |
|
145 |
0% |
0% |
|
146 |
0% |
0% |
|
147 |
0% |
0% |
|
148 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
95% |
|
74 |
3% |
93% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
3% |
88% |
|
77 |
3% |
85% |
|
78 |
5% |
82% |
|
79 |
5% |
77% |
|
80 |
4% |
71% |
|
81 |
13% |
67% |
|
82 |
5% |
54% |
|
83 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
84 |
5% |
41% |
|
85 |
12% |
36% |
|
86 |
5% |
24% |
|
87 |
4% |
19% |
|
88 |
2% |
14% |
|
89 |
2% |
13% |
|
90 |
2% |
10% |
|
91 |
4% |
9% |
|
92 |
2% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
95% |
|
74 |
3% |
93% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
3% |
88% |
|
77 |
3% |
85% |
|
78 |
5% |
82% |
|
79 |
5% |
77% |
|
80 |
4% |
71% |
|
81 |
13% |
67% |
|
82 |
5% |
54% |
|
83 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
84 |
5% |
41% |
|
85 |
12% |
36% |
|
86 |
5% |
24% |
|
87 |
4% |
19% |
|
88 |
2% |
14% |
|
89 |
2% |
13% |
|
90 |
2% |
10% |
|
91 |
4% |
9% |
|
92 |
2% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
57 |
2% |
95% |
|
58 |
4% |
93% |
|
59 |
3% |
89% |
|
60 |
3% |
86% |
|
61 |
5% |
83% |
|
62 |
4% |
77% |
|
63 |
8% |
74% |
|
64 |
4% |
66% |
|
65 |
9% |
62% |
|
66 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
39% |
|
68 |
9% |
29% |
|
69 |
4% |
21% |
|
70 |
4% |
16% |
|
71 |
4% |
13% |
|
72 |
2% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partidul Național Liberal
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
57 |
2% |
95% |
|
58 |
4% |
93% |
|
59 |
3% |
89% |
|
60 |
3% |
86% |
|
61 |
6% |
83% |
|
62 |
4% |
77% |
|
63 |
8% |
74% |
|
64 |
4% |
66% |
|
65 |
9% |
62% |
|
66 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
39% |
|
68 |
9% |
29% |
|
69 |
4% |
21% |
|
70 |
4% |
16% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
12% |
|
4 |
0% |
12% |
|
5 |
0% |
12% |
|
6 |
0% |
12% |
|
7 |
0% |
12% |
|
8 |
0% |
12% |
|
9 |
0% |
12% |
|
10 |
0% |
12% |
|
11 |
0% |
12% |
|
12 |
0% |
12% |
|
13 |
0% |
12% |
|
14 |
0% |
12% |
|
15 |
0% |
12% |
|
16 |
0% |
12% |
|
17 |
0% |
12% |
|
18 |
0% |
12% |
|
19 |
0% |
12% |
|
20 |
0% |
12% |
|
21 |
0% |
12% |
|
22 |
0% |
11% |
|
23 |
0% |
11% |
|
24 |
0% |
11% |
|
25 |
0% |
11% |
|
26 |
0% |
11% |
|
27 |
0% |
11% |
|
28 |
0% |
11% |
|
29 |
0% |
11% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
32 |
3% |
10% |
|
33 |
4% |
7% |
|
34 |
2% |
4% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSOMAR
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28–31 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1030
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.46%