Opinion Poll by CURS, 26–30 December 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 28.9% 31.0% 29.0–33.1% 28.4–33.7% 28.0–34.2% 27.0–35.2%
Partidul Național Liberal 25.2% 19.0% 17.4–20.8% 16.9–21.3% 16.5–21.8% 15.8–22.7%
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 9.1% 19.0% 17.4–20.8% 16.9–21.3% 16.5–21.8% 15.8–22.7%
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 15.4% 9.0% 7.9–10.4% 7.6–10.8% 7.3–11.2% 6.8–11.9%
Partidul S.O.S. România 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.5% 3.8–6.7% 3.4–7.3%
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.5–6.1%
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 5.7% 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.5–6.1%
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 4.8% 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.5–6.1%
PRO România 4.1% 2.0% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.1–3.6%
Forța Dreptei 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Social Democrat 110 111 104–125 101–127 99–128 95–135
Partidul Național Liberal 93 69 63–76 61–79 59–83 55–86
Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor 33 68 61–78 60–79 59–82 56–88
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 55 33 28–38 0–40 0–41 0–44
Partidul S.O.S. România 0 18 0–21 0–22 0–23 0–26
Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–23
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 21 16 11–18 11–19 10–21 9–22
Partidul Mișcarea Populară 0 0 0 0–18 0–19 0–22
PRO România 0 0 0 0 0 0
Forța Dreptei 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partidul Social Democrat

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Social Democrat page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 1.0% 99.4%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 1.5% 98%  
100 1.0% 96%  
101 2% 96%  
102 2% 94%  
103 1.1% 92%  
104 1.4% 91%  
105 4% 90%  
106 7% 85%  
107 11% 78%  
108 2% 67%  
109 4% 65%  
110 2% 61% Last Result
111 12% 59% Median
112 3% 47%  
113 5% 43%  
114 2% 39%  
115 8% 37%  
116 1.4% 29%  
117 2% 28%  
118 2% 25%  
119 1.2% 23%  
120 4% 22%  
121 3% 18%  
122 2% 15%  
123 1.0% 13%  
124 0.6% 12%  
125 2% 12%  
126 0.4% 10%  
127 6% 9%  
128 1.2% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.1% 2%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.2% 1.2%  
133 0.2% 1.0%  
134 0.1% 0.8%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.1% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Național Liberal page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.4%  
57 1.2% 99.1%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 0.5% 98%  
60 1.2% 97%  
61 1.0% 96%  
62 3% 95%  
63 2% 92%  
64 2% 90%  
65 2% 88%  
66 10% 86%  
67 6% 76%  
68 15% 70%  
69 6% 56% Median
70 10% 50%  
71 4% 40%  
72 8% 36%  
73 14% 29%  
74 3% 15%  
75 1.3% 11%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 0.8% 9%  
78 2% 8%  
79 1.5% 6%  
80 0.6% 4%  
81 0.2% 4%  
82 1.1% 4%  
83 0.2% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
94 0% 0%  

Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.3% 99.6%  
57 0.3% 99.3%  
58 1.0% 99.1%  
59 0.8% 98%  
60 5% 97%  
61 4% 93%  
62 2% 89%  
63 9% 88%  
64 8% 79%  
65 11% 71%  
66 4% 60%  
67 3% 56%  
68 7% 53% Median
69 4% 46%  
70 3% 42%  
71 6% 39%  
72 6% 33%  
73 3% 27%  
74 2% 25%  
75 3% 22%  
76 5% 20%  
77 0.7% 15%  
78 9% 14%  
79 1.1% 5%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 0.3% 3%  
82 0.4% 3%  
83 0.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.3%  
86 0.3% 1.2%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 0% 90%  
9 0% 90%  
10 0% 90%  
11 0% 90%  
12 0% 90%  
13 0% 90%  
14 0% 90%  
15 0% 90%  
16 0% 90%  
17 0% 90%  
18 0% 90%  
19 0% 90%  
20 0% 90%  
21 0% 90%  
22 0% 90%  
23 0% 90%  
24 0% 90%  
25 0% 90%  
26 0% 90%  
27 0.3% 90%  
28 0.6% 90%  
29 3% 89%  
30 8% 87%  
31 7% 78%  
32 7% 71%  
33 20% 65% Median
34 13% 44%  
35 10% 32%  
36 4% 21%  
37 6% 18%  
38 3% 12%  
39 3% 10%  
40 3% 6%  
41 1.0% 3%  
42 0.5% 2%  
43 1.2% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul S.O.S. România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul S.O.S. România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 0% 51%  
9 0% 51%  
10 0% 51%  
11 0% 51%  
12 0% 51%  
13 0% 51%  
14 0% 51%  
15 0% 51%  
16 0% 51%  
17 0.9% 51%  
18 10% 51% Median
19 16% 40%  
20 8% 24%  
21 7% 16%  
22 5% 9%  
23 2% 5%  
24 0.6% 2%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.2% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 0% 16%  
5 0% 16%  
6 0% 16%  
7 0% 16%  
8 0% 16%  
9 0% 16%  
10 0% 16%  
11 0% 16%  
12 0% 16%  
13 0% 16%  
14 0% 16%  
15 0% 16%  
16 0.1% 16%  
17 1.2% 16%  
18 8% 15%  
19 5% 7%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.4% 1.1%  
22 0.1% 0.8%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.6%  
10 3% 98.9%  
11 7% 96%  
12 8% 90%  
13 6% 81%  
14 13% 76%  
15 12% 63%  
16 11% 51% Median
17 22% 40%  
18 10% 18%  
19 4% 8%  
20 0.8% 4%  
21 2% 3% Last Result
22 0.5% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Partidul Mișcarea Populară

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partidul Mișcarea Populară page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0% 8%  
7 0% 8%  
8 0% 8%  
9 0% 8%  
10 0% 8%  
11 0% 8%  
12 0% 8%  
13 0% 8%  
14 0% 8%  
15 0% 8%  
16 0% 8%  
17 1.2% 8%  
18 2% 7%  
19 3% 5%  
20 0.9% 2%  
21 0.5% 1.4%  
22 0.7% 0.9%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

PRO România

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PRO România page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Forța Dreptei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forța Dreptei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 119 0% 107–126 96–131 88–135 81–139
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 169 117 0% 101–124 89–128 86–131 81–137
Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România 110 111 0% 104–125 101–127 99–128 95–135
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 148 103 0% 92–111 79–117 73–121 67–124
Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS 148 103 0% 88–109 74–111 72–115 67–122
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 86 0% 79–95 77–100 75–106 70–108
Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România 114 85 0% 78–91 75–96 72–100 68–103
Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 93 70 0% 65–79 62–85 61–91 56–94
Partidul Național Liberal 93 69 0% 63–76 61–79 59–83 55–86
Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară 55 33 0% 29–40 0–47 0–51 0–56

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0.4% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.3%  
83 0.2% 99.3%  
84 0.1% 99.1%  
85 0.2% 99.1%  
86 0.5% 98.9%  
87 0.3% 98%  
88 0.8% 98%  
89 1.2% 97%  
90 0.1% 96%  
91 0.2% 96%  
92 0% 96%  
93 0.1% 96%  
94 0.1% 96%  
95 0.4% 96%  
96 0.3% 95%  
97 1.0% 95%  
98 0.2% 94%  
99 0.3% 94%  
100 0.1% 93%  
101 0.9% 93%  
102 0.4% 92%  
103 0.5% 92%  
104 0.5% 91%  
105 0.2% 91%  
106 0.6% 91%  
107 0.3% 90%  
108 0.8% 90%  
109 1.5% 89%  
110 2% 87%  
111 0.9% 86%  
112 3% 85%  
113 3% 82%  
114 5% 79%  
115 3% 74%  
116 12% 70%  
117 5% 58%  
118 3% 53% Median
119 4% 50%  
120 3% 46%  
121 12% 43%  
122 5% 31%  
123 11% 26%  
124 3% 15%  
125 1.4% 12%  
126 1.3% 11%  
127 0.8% 9%  
128 1.4% 9%  
129 0.4% 7%  
130 0.6% 7%  
131 2% 6%  
132 0.7% 4%  
133 0.3% 4%  
134 0.3% 3%  
135 0.5% 3%  
136 0.1% 2%  
137 1.0% 2%  
138 0.1% 1.4%  
139 0.9% 1.2%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.1%  
83 0.3% 98.9%  
84 0.2% 98.7%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 0.3% 97%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 1.2% 96%  
90 0.1% 95%  
91 0.2% 94%  
92 0% 94%  
93 0.2% 94%  
94 0.1% 94%  
95 0.5% 94%  
96 0.4% 93%  
97 1.1% 93%  
98 0.1% 92%  
99 1.3% 92%  
100 0.2% 91%  
101 0.9% 90%  
102 0.4% 89%  
103 0.4% 89%  
104 0.6% 89%  
105 0.2% 88%  
106 0.6% 88%  
107 0.7% 87%  
108 0.5% 86%  
109 2% 86%  
110 2% 84%  
111 0.9% 82%  
112 3% 81%  
113 3% 78%  
114 6% 75%  
115 3% 69%  
116 12% 66%  
117 5% 53%  
118 2% 48% Median
119 4% 47%  
120 4% 42%  
121 12% 39%  
122 5% 27%  
123 11% 22%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.1% 8%  
126 1.1% 7%  
127 0.4% 6%  
128 1.3% 6%  
129 0.2% 4%  
130 0.5% 4%  
131 2% 4%  
132 0.1% 2%  
133 0.1% 2%  
134 0.3% 2%  
135 0.4% 1.4%  
136 0% 1.0%  
137 0.9% 1.0%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0% Majority
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Social Democrat – PRO România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.6%  
96 1.0% 99.4%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 1.5% 98%  
100 1.0% 96%  
101 2% 96%  
102 2% 94%  
103 1.1% 92%  
104 1.4% 91%  
105 4% 90%  
106 7% 85%  
107 11% 78%  
108 2% 67%  
109 4% 65%  
110 2% 61% Last Result
111 12% 59% Median
112 3% 47%  
113 5% 43%  
114 2% 39%  
115 8% 37%  
116 1.4% 29%  
117 2% 28%  
118 2% 25%  
119 1.2% 23%  
120 4% 22%  
121 3% 18%  
122 2% 15%  
123 1.0% 13%  
124 0.6% 12%  
125 2% 12%  
126 0.4% 10%  
127 6% 9%  
128 1.2% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 0.1% 2%  
131 0.5% 2%  
132 0.2% 1.2%  
133 0.2% 1.0%  
134 0.1% 0.8%  
135 0.2% 0.7%  
136 0.1% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0.1% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 99.7%  
68 0.3% 99.2%  
69 0.2% 98.9%  
70 0.1% 98.8%  
71 0.6% 98.7%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 1.3% 98%  
74 0.5% 97%  
75 0.2% 96%  
76 0.2% 96%  
77 0.2% 96%  
78 0.2% 96%  
79 1.0% 95%  
80 0.3% 94%  
81 0.1% 94%  
82 1.0% 94%  
83 0.1% 93%  
84 0.3% 93%  
85 0.3% 93%  
86 0.2% 92%  
87 0.1% 92%  
88 0.2% 92%  
89 0.4% 92%  
90 0.4% 91%  
91 0.5% 91%  
92 0.7% 90%  
93 0.3% 90%  
94 1.5% 89%  
95 0.9% 88%  
96 1.0% 87%  
97 2% 86%  
98 3% 83%  
99 9% 80%  
100 5% 72%  
101 5% 67%  
102 5% 61% Median
103 9% 56%  
104 8% 48%  
105 4% 40%  
106 14% 37%  
107 4% 22%  
108 3% 18%  
109 2% 15%  
110 3% 13%  
111 1.2% 10%  
112 1.4% 9%  
113 0.5% 8%  
114 1.0% 7%  
115 0.5% 6%  
116 0.4% 5%  
117 0.8% 5%  
118 0.7% 4%  
119 0.4% 4%  
120 0.3% 3%  
121 0.4% 3%  
122 1.1% 2%  
123 0.1% 1.3%  
124 1.0% 1.3%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.5% 99.5%  
68 0.3% 99.1%  
69 0.4% 98.8%  
70 0.1% 98%  
71 0.6% 98%  
72 0.6% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 0.5% 95%  
75 0.2% 95%  
76 0.3% 95%  
77 0.2% 94%  
78 0.3% 94%  
79 1.1% 94%  
80 0.2% 93%  
81 0.1% 92%  
82 1.0% 92%  
83 0.1% 91%  
84 0.4% 91%  
85 0.4% 91%  
86 0.2% 90%  
87 0.2% 90%  
88 1.2% 90%  
89 0.4% 89%  
90 0.7% 88%  
91 0.4% 88%  
92 0.8% 87%  
93 0.3% 86%  
94 0.8% 86%  
95 1.0% 85%  
96 1.1% 84%  
97 3% 83%  
98 3% 80%  
99 9% 77%  
100 5% 68%  
101 6% 63%  
102 5% 57% Median
103 9% 52%  
104 8% 43%  
105 5% 36%  
106 14% 31%  
107 3% 17%  
108 3% 14%  
109 2% 10%  
110 3% 9%  
111 1.2% 6%  
112 1.3% 5%  
113 0.4% 4%  
114 0.5% 3%  
115 0.2% 3%  
116 0.4% 2%  
117 0.2% 2%  
118 0.1% 2%  
119 0.2% 2%  
120 0.2% 2%  
121 0.3% 1.3%  
122 0.8% 1.0%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 0.2% 99.5%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 0.2% 98.9%  
74 0.9% 98.7%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 0.7% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 94%  
79 2% 91%  
80 4% 89%  
81 3% 85%  
82 6% 82%  
83 14% 76%  
84 3% 62%  
85 4% 58% Median
86 9% 54%  
87 7% 45%  
88 7% 38%  
89 4% 31%  
90 10% 27%  
91 2% 17%  
92 0.8% 14%  
93 1.5% 14%  
94 2% 12%  
95 0.9% 11%  
96 0.9% 10%  
97 1.4% 9%  
98 0.2% 7%  
99 0.8% 7%  
100 1.4% 6%  
101 0.9% 5%  
102 0.6% 4%  
103 0.3% 3%  
104 0.5% 3%  
105 0.2% 3%  
106 0.5% 3%  
107 1.1% 2%  
108 0.5% 1.0%  
109 0.1% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1% Last Result
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal – Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 1.2% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 0.3% 97%  
74 1.0% 97%  
75 1.3% 96%  
76 1.2% 94%  
77 2% 93%  
78 3% 91%  
79 3% 88%  
80 5% 85%  
81 3% 81%  
82 6% 77%  
83 15% 71%  
84 4% 57%  
85 5% 53% Median
86 10% 48%  
87 6% 39%  
88 8% 33%  
89 4% 25%  
90 10% 21%  
91 2% 11%  
92 0.6% 9%  
93 1.2% 8%  
94 1.2% 7%  
95 0.7% 6%  
96 0.5% 5%  
97 1.1% 5%  
98 0.1% 3%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 0.9% 3%  
101 0.8% 2%  
102 0.3% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.6%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0% Last Result

Partidul Național Liberal – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.3% 99.6%  
57 0.1% 99.3%  
58 0.2% 99.2%  
59 0.3% 99.0%  
60 0.8% 98.7%  
61 0.9% 98%  
62 2% 97%  
63 2% 95%  
64 2% 93%  
65 2% 91%  
66 10% 90%  
67 6% 80%  
68 14% 74%  
69 5% 60% Median
70 10% 54%  
71 3% 45%  
72 7% 41%  
73 13% 35%  
74 3% 22%  
75 1.3% 18%  
76 2% 17%  
77 1.1% 15%  
78 2% 14%  
79 2% 12%  
80 1.3% 10%  
81 0.2% 9%  
82 1.3% 8%  
83 0.5% 7%  
84 0.7% 7%  
85 1.4% 6%  
86 0.5% 5%  
87 0.4% 4%  
88 0.5% 4%  
89 0.3% 3%  
90 0.2% 3%  
91 0.3% 3%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.3% Last Result
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Partidul Național Liberal

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.4%  
57 1.2% 99.1%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 0.5% 98%  
60 1.2% 97%  
61 1.0% 96%  
62 3% 95%  
63 2% 92%  
64 2% 90%  
65 2% 88%  
66 10% 86%  
67 6% 76%  
68 15% 70%  
69 6% 56% Median
70 10% 50%  
71 4% 40%  
72 8% 36%  
73 14% 29%  
74 3% 15%  
75 1.3% 11%  
76 1.4% 10%  
77 0.8% 9%  
78 2% 8%  
79 1.5% 6%  
80 0.6% 4%  
81 0.2% 4%  
82 1.1% 4%  
83 0.2% 3%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
94 0% 0%  

Alianța 2020 USR-PLUS – Partidul Mișcarea Populară

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0.1% 92%  
19 0.2% 92%  
20 0.3% 92%  
21 0.3% 91%  
22 0.5% 91%  
23 0.1% 90%  
24 0% 90%  
25 0% 90%  
26 0% 90%  
27 0% 90%  
28 0.1% 90%  
29 2% 90%  
30 8% 88%  
31 6% 80%  
32 6% 75%  
33 20% 69% Median
34 12% 49%  
35 10% 37%  
36 3% 27%  
37 6% 23%  
38 2% 18%  
39 3% 16%  
40 3% 12%  
41 0.9% 9%  
42 0.4% 8%  
43 1.2% 8%  
44 0.6% 7%  
45 0.4% 6%  
46 0.3% 6%  
47 0.6% 5%  
48 0.3% 5%  
49 0.4% 5%  
50 1.1% 4%  
51 1.2% 3%  
52 0.4% 2%  
53 0.2% 1.4%  
54 0.3% 1.1%  
55 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
56 0.4% 0.6%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations