Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 16–19 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 0–1 0–2 0–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 85% 99.3% Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 17% 100%  
4 82% 83% Last Result, Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 37% 100%  
3 63% 63% Median
4 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 85% 100% Median
2 15% 15% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 91% 96% Last Result, Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 87% 92% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Median
1 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 85% 99.3% Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations