Slovensko (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 7.5% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.6% | 3.5–7.1% | 3.2–7.5% | 2.9–7.8% | 2.6–8.4% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Slovensko (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 10% | 99.5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 16% | 89% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 21% | 73% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 18% | 22% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | |||||
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
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| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | |||||
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
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| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Slovensko (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 66% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |