Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 11–17 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.8% 21.2–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.5% 19.6–26.3%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.5%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 79% 99.9% Median
5 21% 21%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 82% 99.5% Last Result, Median
5 18% 18%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 73% 99.8% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 64% 100% Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 87% 99.9% Median
2 12% 12% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 94% 96% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 76% 77% Last Result, Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 4% 4% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 79% 99.9% Median
5 21% 21%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 64% 100% Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations