Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 14–24 January 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 24.6% | 22.9–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.2–28.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 22.5% | 20.9–24.3% | 20.4–24.8% | 20.0–25.2% | 19.3–26.1% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 66% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 32% | 32% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 29% | 29% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 97% | 99.9% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 97% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | |
| 1 | 49% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 64% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 36% | 36% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 14–24 January 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.62%