Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 5–12 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 24.1% 22.4–25.9% 21.9–26.4% 21.6–26.9% 20.8–27.7%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.0–24.4% 19.6–24.8% 18.9–25.6%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 49% 99.9%  
5 51% 51% Median
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 4% 100%  
4 81% 96% Last Result, Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 75% 100% Median
3 25% 25%  
4 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 88% 98.6% Median
2 10% 10% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 95% 98% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 80% 82% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 77% 77% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 49% 99.9%  
5 51% 51% Median
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 77% 77% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations