Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 7–12 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.1% 20.5–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.8% 18.9–25.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.3–24.3% 18.5–25.2%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 0–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 89% 93% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 8% 100%  
4 90% 92% Last Result, Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 94% 98% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 62% 100% Median
2 38% 38% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 79% 100% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 98% 98.5% Last Result, Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 82% 82% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 25% 25%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Median
1 35% 35% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 89% 93% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 79% 100% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations