Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 10–14 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 22.1% 20.5–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.7–24.7% 18.9–25.6%
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.4% 19.8–23.1% 19.4–23.6% 19.0–24.0% 18.3–24.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 12.5% 11.3–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.1%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–8.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.7%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 0–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.3% 100%  
4 86% 98.7% Last Result, Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 94% 96% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 86% 100% Median
3 14% 14%  
4 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 74% 100% Median
2 26% 26% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 90% 99.9% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 97% 98% Last Result, Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 92% 92% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 48%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 2% 2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 94% 96% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 90% 99.9% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations