Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 12–16 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.9–24.1% 19.5–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 92% 97% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 24% 100%  
4 76% 76% Last Result, Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 76% 100% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 93% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 96% 99.1% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 58% 100% Median
1 42% 42% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 92% 97% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations