Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 19–26 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.5% 19.9–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.1–24.2% 18.3–25.0%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.6–15.0%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 92% 95% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 47% 100%  
4 53% 53% Last Result, Median
5 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 34% 100% Last Result
2 66% 66% Median
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 80% 100% Median
2 20% 20% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 89% 99.8% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 92% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Median
1 1.1% 1.1% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 92% 95% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 89% 99.8% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations