Opinion Poll by NMS, 4–8 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.8–26.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.4% 16.8–23.3%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–12.0%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 91% 100% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 8% 100%  
4 92% 92% Last Result, Median
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 96% 99.8% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 97% 98.6% Median
2 1.2% 1.2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 86% 86% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 91% 100% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations