Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 16–19 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.7% 20.1–23.5% 19.7–23.9% 19.3–24.4% 18.5–25.2%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.7–21.9% 17.4–22.3% 16.7–23.1%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.5–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–8.0% 4.5–8.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.4%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 88% 94% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 26% 100%  
4 74% 74% Last Result, Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 91% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 94% 95% Median
2 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 95% 96% Last Result, Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Last Result, Median
1 35% 35%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 8% 8% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 88% 94% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations