Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 7–13 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 20.7% 19.2–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.4–23.3% 17.6–24.2%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.6% 18.1–21.2% 17.6–21.7% 17.3–22.1% 16.6–22.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 85% 87% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 30% 100%  
4 70% 70% Last Result, Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 95% 99.7% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 91% 100% Last Result, Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 96% 99.4% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 10% 10% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 85% 87% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations