Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 5–11 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.1% 20.5–23.9% 20.0–24.4% 19.6–24.8% 18.9–25.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 83% 97% Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 67% 99.8% Median
4 33% 33% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 97% 99.3% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 71% 100% Last Result, Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 71% 100% Last Result, Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 74% 99.9% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 85% 99.8% Median
2 15% 15% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 4% 4% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 83% 97% Median
5 14% 14%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 74% 99.9% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations