Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 6–19 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.2% 20.3–22.2% 20.0–22.4% 19.8–22.7% 19.4–23.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.6–19.9% 17.4–20.1% 17.0–20.6%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 10.1% 9.4–10.8% 9.2–11.0% 9.1–11.2% 8.8–11.6%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.9% 9.2–10.6% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.0% 8.6–11.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.2% 7.6–8.9% 7.4–9.1% 7.3–9.2% 7.0–9.5%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.7% 6.2–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.9–7.7% 5.6–8.0%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.3% 5.8–6.9% 5.6–7.1% 5.5–7.2% 5.2–7.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 4.3–5.3% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.9%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.6% 4.2–5.1% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 97% 97% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 67% 100% Median
4 33% 33% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.4% Median
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 64% 100% Last Result, Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Median
2 0% 0% Last Result

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 99.9% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Median
1 16% 16% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 97% 97% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations