Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 15–19 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.5% 20.9–24.2% 20.5–24.7% 20.1–25.1% 19.3–25.9%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–11.9% 8.6–12.2% 8.1–12.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.2–11.7% 7.7–12.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4 4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.4% 100%  
4 98% 98.6% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 71% 100% Median
4 29% 29% Last Result
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 98.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98% 100% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0% Last Result

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Median
1 1.5% 1.5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.4% 100%  
4 98% 98.6% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 98.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations