Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 10–17 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.2% 16.8–19.8% 16.4–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.4–21.4%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.6–12.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.6–12.2%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 7.0–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.3–5.7% 3.0–6.2%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.3–5.7% 3.0–6.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 92% 98% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.8% 100%  
3 82% 99.2% Median
4 17% 17% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 23% 100%  
2 77% 77% Median
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 68% 100% Last Result, Median
2 32% 32%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 84% 84% Median
2 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 91% 91% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 48%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Median
1 39% 39% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 92% 98% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations