Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 8–22 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.5% 15.2–19.9% 14.5–20.7%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.1% 100%  
4 93% 98.9% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.6% 100%  
3 89% 99.4% Median
4 10% 10% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.2% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 40% 100% Last Result
2 60% 60% Median
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 79% 100% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 95% 100% Last Result, Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 90% 99.9% Median
2 10% 10% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.1% 100%  
4 93% 98.9% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 79% 100% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations