Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 15–20 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.0%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.5% 17.0–20.2% 16.6–20.6% 16.3–21.0% 15.6–21.8%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.4%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 90% 92% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 56% 100% Median
4 44% 44% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 79% 100% Last Result, Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 92% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 97% 98% Median
2 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 67% 68% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 90% 92% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations