Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 13–21 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 23.1% 21.4–24.8% 21.0–25.3% 20.6–25.7% 19.8–26.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.2–20.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.5%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.0% 100%  
4 81% 99.0% Median
5 18% 18%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 84% 98% Median
4 13% 13% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 66% 100% Last Result, Median
2 34% 34%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 97% 99.6% Median
2 2% 2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 93% 94% Last Result, Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 5% 5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.0% 100%  
4 81% 99.0% Median
5 18% 18%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations