Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 11–18 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 23.3% 21.6–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.9%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.1–13.1%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 85% 99.7% Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.4% 100%  
3 91% 99.6% Median
4 9% 9% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 97% 98% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 60% 100% Last Result, Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 64% 100% Last Result, Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 90% 99.3% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 97% 98.6% Median
2 1.1% 1.1% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 67% 67% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 85% 99.7% Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 90% 99.3% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations