Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 11–18 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 22.1% 20.5–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 16.5% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.6–19.6%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 83% 95% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 6% 100%  
3 92% 94% Median
4 2% 2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 46% 100%  
2 54% 54% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 43% 100% Last Result
2 57% 57% Median
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 96% 97% Last Result, Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 98% 98% Median
2 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100% Last Result
1 63% 63% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 69% 100% Median
1 31% 31% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 83% 95% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations