Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 24–28 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 23.6% 21.9–25.3% 21.5–25.8% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.8% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.9–21.0%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.7% 9.6–12.1% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.4–12.1%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.4%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.6%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 0–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 79% 99.9% Median
5 21% 21%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 94% 99.9% Median
4 6% 6% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 14% 100% Last Result
2 86% 86% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 77% 100% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 98% 99.5% Last Result, Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 87% 88% Median
2 0% 0% Last Result

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 77% 77% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 1.3% 1.3% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 79% 99.9% Median
5 21% 21%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations