Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 15–20 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 20.5% 19.0–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.2–23.1% 17.4–23.9%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.6% 16.2–19.2% 15.7–19.6% 15.4–20.0% 14.7–20.8%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.9–15.1%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.2%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 12% 100%  
4 86% 88% Median
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 78% 99.9% Median
4 22% 22% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 61% 100% Last Result, Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 35% 100% Last Result
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.9% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 97% 99.6% Median
2 2% 2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 70% 70% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Median
1 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 12% 100%  
4 86% 88% Median
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 95% 100% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations