Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 3–9 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 19.3% | 17.8–21.0% | 17.4–21.5% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.3–22.7% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.8–20.9% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 9.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.0% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 14% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 74% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 26% | 26% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 29% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 46% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 7% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 70% | 70% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 20% | 20% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 37% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Právo na pravdu (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kresťanská únia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 14% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 29% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 37% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): 360tka.sk
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1014
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.80%