Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 16–20 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.9–22.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.2–20.9% 15.5–21.7%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.0%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 89% 100% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 95% 100% Median
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.7% 99.9% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 23% 100% Last Result
2 77% 77% Median
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 44% 100% Last Result
2 56% 56% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 98% 98% Median
2 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Median
1 50% 50% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 89% 100% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.7% 99.9% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations