Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 10–18 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.2–20.4% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 100% | |
| 4 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 57% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 43% | 43% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 34% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 84% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 26% | 26% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Právo na pravdu (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kresťanská únia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 100% | |
| 4 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 34% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 58% | 59% | Median |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 10–18 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.59%