Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 16–19 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.2–23.2% 17.5–24.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 17.0–23.5%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 32% 100%  
4 68% 68% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 39% 100%  
4 61% 61% Last Result, Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 98.8% 99.4% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 62% 100% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 83% 100% Last Result, Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 93% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 94% 98% Median
2 4% 4% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Median
1 26% 26% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 32% 100%  
4 68% 68% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 98.8% 99.4% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations