Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 20–27 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.1% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.9–19.5% 14.2–20.2%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.9–12.6% 8.4–13.3%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.4% 5.5–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.3%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.9% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 61% 100% Median
4 39% 39%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 2% 100%  
3 77% 98% Median
4 21% 21% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 98% 99.5% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 28% 100% Last Result
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 98% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 95% 97% Median
2 2% 2% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 85% 85% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 3% 3% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.4% 1.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 61% 100% Median
4 39% 39%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 98% 99.5% Median
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations