Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 17–22 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.3–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.4% 16.0–19.0% 15.6–19.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.6–20.6%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.8–13.8%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 9.4% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.3–11.9%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.4–8.2%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 80% 80% Median
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 91% 99.9% Median
4 9% 9% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 98% 99.8% Median
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 9% 100% Last Result
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 86% 100% Last Result, Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 1.5% 1.5% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 96% 99.5% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 5% 5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 80% 80% Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 98% 99.8% Median
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations