Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 5–11 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.8–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 77% 100% Median
4 23% 23%  
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 49% 100%  
4 51% 51% Last Result, Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 15% 100% Last Result
2 85% 85% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 54% 100% Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 89% 99.5% Last Result, Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 2% 2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 77% 100% Median
4 23% 23%  
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations