Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 15–20 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.8–21.9% 17.4–22.3% 16.7–23.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.9–14.0%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.8%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 91% 91% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 23% 100%  
4 77% 77% Last Result, Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 98% 99.8% Median
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 70% 100% Median
2 30% 30%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 36% 100% Last Result
2 64% 64% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 84% 100% Last Result, Median
2 16% 16%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Median
1 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 91% 91% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 98% 99.8% Median
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations