Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 14–21 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.4% | 15.9–22.3% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 46% | 100% | |
| 4 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 27% | 27% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 44% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 23% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 45% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 37% | 37% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 12% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 43% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Právo na pravdu (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 46% | 100% | |
| 4 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 44% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 57% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 43% | 43% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 14–21 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.26%