Opinion Poll by NMS, 3–8 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 19.7% 18.1–21.4% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.1%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 16.4% 14.9–18.0% 14.5–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.5–19.6%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.1% 10.3–15.8%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 4.5% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3–4 3–4 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 85% 86% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.3% 100%  
3 93% 98.7% Median
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 91% 91% Median
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 21% 100% Last Result
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 80% 100% Last Result, Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.8% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0% Last Result

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 5% 5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 85% 86% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 91% 91% Median
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations