Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 18–23 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.1% 15.9–20.5% 15.2–21.3%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.9% 16.5–19.5% 16.1–20.0% 15.7–20.3% 15.0–21.1%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.9% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.6% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.6%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.6%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.8%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 49% 100%  
4 51% 51% Median
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 73% 100% Median
4 27% 27% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 54% 100% Last Result, Median
2 46% 46%  
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 31% 100% Last Result
2 69% 69% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 41% 100%  
2 59% 59% Median
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 89% 99.9% Median
2 11% 11% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 34% 34%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 49% 100%  
4 51% 51% Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations