Opinion Poll by Focus for 360tka.sk, 1–7 September 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0.0% | 17.3% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.4–19.4% | 15.1–19.8% | 14.4–20.5% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.4–19.4% | 15.1–19.8% | 14.4–20.5% |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0.0% | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.5% | 9.9–15.2% |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.4% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0.0% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 13.2% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 4 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Slovensko (EPP) | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) | 2 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Magyar Szövetség (EPP) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Právo na pravdu (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kresťanská únia (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 27% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 16% | 16% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Slovensko (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 78% | 99.1% | Median |
| 2 | 21% | 21% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 41% | 41% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Právo na pravdu (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kresťanská únia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| REPUBLIKA (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 27% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): 360tka.sk
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 September 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.42%