Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 10–21 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 18.9% 17.8–20.1% 17.5–20.4% 17.2–20.7% 16.7–21.2%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 17.1% 16.0–18.2% 15.8–18.5% 15.5–18.8% 15.0–19.4%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 9.7% 8.9–10.6% 8.7–10.9% 8.5–11.1% 8.1–11.5%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.5% 7.6–9.7% 7.4–9.9% 7.1–10.3%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.3–5.7%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.2% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.5% 1.9–3.8%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 1.7% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 0.5% 0.4–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kresťanská únia (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 19% 100%  
4 81% 81% Median
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 95% 100% Median
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 99.2% 99.2% Median
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 25% 100%  
2 75% 75% Median
3 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 61% 100% Last Result, Median
2 39% 39%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 25% 100% Last Result
2 75% 75% Median
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.4% 100% Median
2 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kresťanská únia (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanská únia (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 19% 100%  
4 81% 81% Median
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 99.2% 99.2% Median
3 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations