Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 18–22 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.8–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.1–18.9% 14.7–19.3% 14.1–20.1%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 12.8% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 10.7% 9.5–12.0% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.7% 8.4–13.4%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 2 2 2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1 1 1 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 71% 100% Median
4 29% 29%  
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.8% 100%  
3 71% 99.2% Median
4 29% 29% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.7% 100% Last Result
2 99.1% 99.3% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 20% 100% Last Result
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 98% 99.7% Median
2 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.0% Median
2 1.5% 1.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 49% 49%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 5% 5% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 71% 100% Median
4 29% 29%  
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana (PfE) – SME RODINA (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations