Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Denník N, 15–19 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0.0% 18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.7–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.7–21.9%
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 24.1% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.2–20.9% 15.5–21.7%
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0.0% 10.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.8% 8.5–13.5%
Slovensko (EPP) 7.5% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.6%
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 6.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 13.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 6.5% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Právo na pravdu (*) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
SME RODINA (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 3.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Za ľudí (EPP) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) 4 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Slovensko (EPP) 1 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 2 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
Právo na pravdu (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 54% 100% Median
4 46% 46%  
5 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 52% 100% Median
4 48% 48% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.6% 99.7% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Slovensko (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovensko (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100% Last Result
2 97% 97% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 67% 100% Last Result, Median
2 33% 33%  
3 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18% Last Result
3 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 99.2% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szövetség (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szövetség (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Právo na pravdu (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo na pravdu (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Za ľudí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Progresívne Slovensko (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
REPUBLIKA (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2
SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Progresívne Slovensko (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 54% 100% Median
4 46% 46%  
5 0% 0%  

REPUBLIKA (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.6% 99.7% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

SME RODINA (PfE) – Slovenská národná strana (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations