Opinion Poll by Polis, 11–18 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
28.3% |
18.3% |
16.9–19.8% |
16.5–20.2% |
16.2–20.6% |
15.5–21.4% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
0.0% |
15.0% |
13.7–16.4% |
13.4–16.8% |
13.1–17.2% |
12.5–17.9% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
11.4% |
10.3–12.7% |
10.0–13.1% |
9.7–13.4% |
9.2–14.0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
12.1% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.3–10.0% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.6–10.8% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.9% |
8.2% |
7.3–9.4% |
7.0–9.7% |
6.8–10.0% |
6.4–10.5% |
Slovenská národná strana |
8.6% |
7.6% |
6.7–8.7% |
6.5–9.0% |
6.2–9.3% |
5.8–9.9% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
11.0% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.2–7.6% |
5.0–7.8% |
4.6–8.3% |
Za ľudí |
0.0% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
4.1–6.7% |
3.8–7.1% |
MOST–HÍD |
6.5% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.6–7.0% |
SME RODINA |
6.6% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.5–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
7% |
95% |
|
30 |
10% |
88% |
|
31 |
20% |
78% |
|
32 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
33 |
9% |
48% |
|
34 |
11% |
39% |
|
35 |
9% |
27% |
|
36 |
11% |
18% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
10% |
98.9% |
|
23 |
10% |
88% |
|
24 |
8% |
79% |
|
25 |
13% |
71% |
|
26 |
21% |
58% |
Median |
27 |
13% |
37% |
|
28 |
8% |
24% |
|
29 |
8% |
16% |
|
30 |
2% |
7% |
|
31 |
2% |
5% |
|
32 |
3% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
2% |
98% |
|
18 |
5% |
96% |
|
19 |
9% |
91% |
|
20 |
22% |
83% |
|
21 |
16% |
61% |
Median |
22 |
19% |
45% |
|
23 |
16% |
26% |
|
24 |
5% |
10% |
|
25 |
2% |
5% |
|
26 |
3% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
19% |
94% |
|
14 |
25% |
75% |
|
15 |
16% |
50% |
Median |
16 |
19% |
35% |
|
17 |
9% |
15% |
|
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
16% |
94% |
|
14 |
20% |
78% |
|
15 |
28% |
58% |
Median |
16 |
13% |
31% |
|
17 |
12% |
18% |
|
18 |
5% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
6% |
98% |
|
12 |
18% |
92% |
|
13 |
19% |
74% |
|
14 |
29% |
55% |
Median |
15 |
13% |
26% |
Last Result |
16 |
7% |
13% |
|
17 |
5% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
0% |
98% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
9 |
11% |
98% |
|
10 |
12% |
87% |
|
11 |
24% |
75% |
|
12 |
28% |
51% |
Median |
13 |
14% |
22% |
|
14 |
5% |
8% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
41% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
59% |
|
2 |
0% |
59% |
|
3 |
0% |
59% |
|
4 |
0% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
59% |
|
6 |
0% |
59% |
|
7 |
0% |
59% |
|
8 |
2% |
59% |
|
9 |
28% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
29% |
|
11 |
8% |
12% |
|
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
56% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
44% |
|
2 |
0% |
44% |
|
3 |
0% |
44% |
|
4 |
0% |
44% |
|
5 |
0% |
44% |
|
6 |
0% |
44% |
|
7 |
0% |
44% |
|
8 |
2% |
44% |
|
9 |
22% |
42% |
|
10 |
12% |
20% |
|
11 |
7% |
8% |
Last Result |
12 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
41% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
59% |
|
2 |
0% |
59% |
|
3 |
0% |
59% |
|
4 |
0% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
59% |
|
6 |
0% |
59% |
|
7 |
0% |
59% |
|
8 |
2% |
59% |
|
9 |
27% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
30% |
|
11 |
11% |
12% |
Last Result |
12 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA |
60 |
83 |
91% |
77–88 |
73–89 |
73–91 |
71–93 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD |
49 |
77 |
62% |
70–83 |
68–85 |
68–87 |
66–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA |
49 |
79 |
70% |
72–85 |
69–86 |
68–87 |
65–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí |
38 |
72 |
31% |
66–80 |
64–82 |
63–83 |
62–84 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
89 |
73 |
33% |
67–80 |
65–82 |
63–82 |
61–84 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
21 |
61 |
0.1% |
55–68 |
53–70 |
52–71 |
51–73 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí |
38 |
58 |
0% |
51–64 |
50–67 |
49–67 |
48–68 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
75 |
50 |
0% |
44–57 |
43–59 |
42–60 |
41–62 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
75 |
52 |
0% |
45–58 |
44–59 |
43–59 |
41–62 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí |
21 |
46 |
0% |
40–52 |
39–54 |
39–55 |
38–58 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
64 |
46 |
0% |
42–51 |
41–53 |
40–54 |
38–56 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
60 |
39 |
0% |
32–45 |
30–45 |
30–46 |
28–47 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
49 |
32 |
0% |
29–36 |
28–38 |
28–38 |
26–41 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
3% |
98% |
|
74 |
2% |
95% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
91% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
2% |
88% |
|
79 |
12% |
86% |
|
80 |
7% |
74% |
|
81 |
9% |
66% |
|
82 |
5% |
58% |
|
83 |
7% |
52% |
|
84 |
6% |
46% |
|
85 |
13% |
40% |
|
86 |
4% |
27% |
Median |
87 |
12% |
22% |
|
88 |
4% |
11% |
|
89 |
2% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
2% |
95% |
|
70 |
3% |
93% |
|
71 |
8% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
82% |
|
73 |
8% |
79% |
|
74 |
4% |
71% |
|
75 |
5% |
67% |
|
76 |
11% |
62% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
78 |
12% |
48% |
|
79 |
9% |
35% |
|
80 |
3% |
26% |
|
81 |
6% |
23% |
|
82 |
2% |
17% |
|
83 |
6% |
15% |
|
84 |
2% |
9% |
|
85 |
2% |
6% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
93% |
|
72 |
4% |
91% |
|
73 |
6% |
87% |
|
74 |
4% |
81% |
|
75 |
7% |
77% |
|
76 |
3% |
70% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
66% |
|
78 |
11% |
62% |
|
79 |
10% |
51% |
|
80 |
7% |
40% |
|
81 |
6% |
33% |
|
82 |
5% |
27% |
|
83 |
5% |
22% |
|
84 |
3% |
17% |
|
85 |
8% |
14% |
|
86 |
2% |
6% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
66 |
4% |
92% |
|
67 |
2% |
89% |
|
68 |
7% |
87% |
|
69 |
14% |
80% |
|
70 |
6% |
66% |
|
71 |
7% |
61% |
|
72 |
4% |
53% |
|
73 |
8% |
49% |
|
74 |
5% |
41% |
|
75 |
6% |
37% |
|
76 |
9% |
31% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
22% |
Median |
78 |
4% |
18% |
|
79 |
4% |
15% |
|
80 |
2% |
11% |
|
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
83 |
3% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
2% |
94% |
|
67 |
6% |
91% |
|
68 |
2% |
85% |
|
69 |
6% |
83% |
|
70 |
3% |
77% |
|
71 |
9% |
74% |
|
72 |
12% |
65% |
|
73 |
4% |
52% |
|
74 |
11% |
49% |
|
75 |
5% |
38% |
|
76 |
4% |
33% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
8% |
29% |
|
78 |
3% |
21% |
|
79 |
8% |
18% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
4% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
3% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
91% |
|
56 |
6% |
89% |
|
57 |
8% |
83% |
|
58 |
4% |
75% |
|
59 |
7% |
71% |
|
60 |
13% |
64% |
|
61 |
7% |
51% |
|
62 |
7% |
44% |
|
63 |
4% |
37% |
|
64 |
3% |
33% |
|
65 |
8% |
30% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
22% |
|
67 |
6% |
16% |
|
68 |
2% |
10% |
|
69 |
3% |
8% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
71 |
3% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
3% |
97% |
|
51 |
5% |
94% |
|
52 |
3% |
89% |
|
53 |
5% |
87% |
|
54 |
11% |
81% |
|
55 |
7% |
70% |
|
56 |
7% |
63% |
|
57 |
4% |
56% |
|
58 |
6% |
52% |
|
59 |
13% |
46% |
|
60 |
5% |
33% |
|
61 |
5% |
27% |
|
62 |
4% |
23% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
19% |
|
64 |
3% |
13% |
|
65 |
2% |
9% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
67 |
3% |
6% |
|
68 |
2% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
44 |
6% |
95% |
|
45 |
9% |
89% |
|
46 |
2% |
80% |
Median |
47 |
6% |
78% |
|
48 |
12% |
73% |
|
49 |
6% |
61% |
|
50 |
6% |
56% |
|
51 |
6% |
50% |
|
52 |
10% |
43% |
|
53 |
6% |
33% |
|
54 |
7% |
27% |
|
55 |
4% |
20% |
|
56 |
4% |
16% |
|
57 |
6% |
13% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
4% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
92% |
|
46 |
3% |
89% |
|
47 |
6% |
86% |
|
48 |
3% |
79% |
|
49 |
4% |
77% |
|
50 |
7% |
72% |
|
51 |
6% |
65% |
|
52 |
13% |
59% |
|
53 |
8% |
46% |
|
54 |
8% |
38% |
|
55 |
3% |
30% |
Median |
56 |
6% |
27% |
|
57 |
6% |
20% |
|
58 |
6% |
15% |
|
59 |
7% |
9% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
6% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
4% |
93% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
42 |
12% |
88% |
|
43 |
4% |
77% |
|
44 |
6% |
73% |
|
45 |
11% |
67% |
|
46 |
10% |
56% |
|
47 |
6% |
46% |
|
48 |
10% |
40% |
|
49 |
5% |
30% |
|
50 |
6% |
25% |
Median |
51 |
3% |
19% |
|
52 |
6% |
15% |
|
53 |
3% |
10% |
|
54 |
2% |
7% |
|
55 |
4% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
93% |
|
43 |
13% |
88% |
|
44 |
9% |
75% |
|
45 |
13% |
66% |
|
46 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
47 |
9% |
47% |
|
48 |
14% |
38% |
|
49 |
4% |
24% |
|
50 |
7% |
20% |
|
51 |
5% |
13% |
|
52 |
2% |
8% |
|
53 |
3% |
6% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
5% |
98% |
|
31 |
2% |
93% |
|
32 |
6% |
91% |
|
33 |
4% |
85% |
|
34 |
3% |
81% |
|
35 |
4% |
78% |
|
36 |
10% |
74% |
|
37 |
3% |
64% |
|
38 |
6% |
60% |
|
39 |
6% |
54% |
|
40 |
16% |
48% |
|
41 |
5% |
32% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
27% |
|
43 |
8% |
23% |
|
44 |
4% |
15% |
|
45 |
7% |
11% |
|
46 |
4% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
7% |
95% |
|
30 |
10% |
88% |
|
31 |
20% |
78% |
|
32 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
33 |
9% |
48% |
|
34 |
11% |
39% |
|
35 |
9% |
27% |
|
36 |
11% |
18% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1165
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%