Opinion Poll by Polis, 11–18 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
28.3% |
18.3% |
16.9–19.8% |
16.5–20.2% |
16.2–20.6% |
15.5–21.4% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
0.0% |
15.0% |
13.7–16.4% |
13.4–16.8% |
13.1–17.2% |
12.5–17.9% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
11.4% |
10.3–12.7% |
10.0–13.1% |
9.7–13.4% |
9.2–14.0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
12.1% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.3–10.0% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.6–10.8% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.9% |
8.2% |
7.3–9.4% |
7.0–9.7% |
6.8–10.0% |
6.4–10.5% |
Slovenská národná strana |
8.6% |
7.6% |
6.7–8.7% |
6.5–9.0% |
6.2–9.3% |
5.8–9.9% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
11.0% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.2–7.6% |
5.0–7.8% |
4.6–8.3% |
Za ľudí |
0.0% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
4.1–6.7% |
3.8–7.1% |
MOST–HÍD |
6.5% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.6–7.0% |
SME RODINA |
6.6% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.9–6.4% |
3.5–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
7% |
95% |
|
30 |
10% |
88% |
|
31 |
20% |
78% |
|
32 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
33 |
9% |
48% |
|
34 |
11% |
39% |
|
35 |
9% |
27% |
|
36 |
11% |
18% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
10% |
98.9% |
|
23 |
10% |
88% |
|
24 |
8% |
79% |
|
25 |
13% |
71% |
|
26 |
21% |
58% |
Median |
27 |
13% |
37% |
|
28 |
8% |
24% |
|
29 |
8% |
16% |
|
30 |
2% |
7% |
|
31 |
2% |
5% |
|
32 |
3% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
2% |
98% |
|
18 |
5% |
96% |
|
19 |
9% |
91% |
|
20 |
22% |
83% |
|
21 |
16% |
61% |
Median |
22 |
19% |
45% |
|
23 |
16% |
26% |
|
24 |
5% |
10% |
|
25 |
2% |
5% |
|
26 |
3% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
19% |
94% |
|
14 |
25% |
75% |
|
15 |
16% |
50% |
Median |
16 |
19% |
35% |
|
17 |
9% |
15% |
|
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
5% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
16% |
94% |
|
14 |
20% |
78% |
|
15 |
28% |
58% |
Median |
16 |
13% |
31% |
|
17 |
12% |
18% |
|
18 |
5% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
6% |
98% |
|
12 |
18% |
92% |
|
13 |
19% |
74% |
|
14 |
29% |
55% |
Median |
15 |
13% |
26% |
Last Result |
16 |
7% |
13% |
|
17 |
5% |
6% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
0% |
98% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
9 |
11% |
98% |
|
10 |
12% |
87% |
|
11 |
24% |
75% |
|
12 |
28% |
51% |
Median |
13 |
14% |
22% |
|
14 |
5% |
8% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
41% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
59% |
|
2 |
0% |
59% |
|
3 |
0% |
59% |
|
4 |
0% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
59% |
|
6 |
0% |
59% |
|
7 |
0% |
59% |
|
8 |
2% |
59% |
|
9 |
28% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
29% |
|
11 |
8% |
12% |
|
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
56% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
44% |
|
2 |
0% |
44% |
|
3 |
0% |
44% |
|
4 |
0% |
44% |
|
5 |
0% |
44% |
|
6 |
0% |
44% |
|
7 |
0% |
44% |
|
8 |
2% |
44% |
|
9 |
22% |
42% |
|
10 |
12% |
20% |
|
11 |
7% |
8% |
Last Result |
12 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
41% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
59% |
|
2 |
0% |
59% |
|
3 |
0% |
59% |
|
4 |
0% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
59% |
|
6 |
0% |
59% |
|
7 |
0% |
59% |
|
8 |
2% |
59% |
|
9 |
27% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
30% |
|
11 |
11% |
12% |
Last Result |
12 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA |
60 |
83 |
91% |
77–88 |
73–89 |
73–91 |
71–93 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD |
49 |
77 |
62% |
70–83 |
68–85 |
68–87 |
66–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA |
49 |
79 |
70% |
72–85 |
69–86 |
68–87 |
65–89 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí |
38 |
72 |
31% |
66–80 |
64–82 |
63–83 |
62–84 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
89 |
73 |
33% |
67–80 |
65–82 |
63–82 |
61–84 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
21 |
61 |
0.1% |
55–68 |
53–70 |
52–71 |
51–73 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí |
38 |
58 |
0% |
51–64 |
50–67 |
49–67 |
48–68 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
75 |
50 |
0% |
44–57 |
43–59 |
42–60 |
41–62 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA |
75 |
52 |
0% |
45–58 |
44–59 |
43–59 |
41–62 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí |
21 |
46 |
0% |
40–52 |
39–54 |
39–55 |
38–58 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
64 |
46 |
0% |
42–51 |
41–53 |
40–54 |
38–56 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
60 |
39 |
0% |
32–45 |
30–45 |
30–46 |
28–47 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
49 |
32 |
0% |
29–36 |
28–38 |
28–38 |
26–41 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
3% |
98% |
|
74 |
2% |
95% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
91% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
2% |
88% |
|
79 |
12% |
86% |
|
80 |
7% |
74% |
|
81 |
9% |
66% |
|
82 |
5% |
58% |
|
83 |
7% |
52% |
|
84 |
6% |
46% |
|
85 |
13% |
40% |
|
86 |
4% |
27% |
Median |
87 |
12% |
22% |
|
88 |
4% |
11% |
|
89 |
2% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
2% |
95% |
|
70 |
3% |
93% |
|
71 |
8% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
82% |
|
73 |
8% |
79% |
|
74 |
4% |
71% |
|
75 |
5% |
67% |
|
76 |
11% |
62% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
78 |
12% |
48% |
|
79 |
9% |
35% |
|
80 |
3% |
26% |
|
81 |
6% |
23% |
|
82 |
2% |
17% |
|
83 |
6% |
15% |
|
84 |
2% |
9% |
|
85 |
2% |
6% |
|
86 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
93% |
|
72 |
4% |
91% |
|
73 |
6% |
87% |
|
74 |
4% |
81% |
|
75 |
7% |
77% |
|
76 |
3% |
70% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
66% |
|
78 |
11% |
62% |
|
79 |
10% |
51% |
|
80 |
7% |
40% |
|
81 |
6% |
33% |
|
82 |
5% |
27% |
|
83 |
5% |
22% |
|
84 |
3% |
17% |
|
85 |
8% |
14% |
|
86 |
2% |
6% |
Median |
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
66 |
4% |
92% |
|
67 |
2% |
89% |
|
68 |
7% |
87% |
|
69 |
14% |
80% |
|
70 |
6% |
66% |
|
71 |
7% |
61% |
|
72 |
4% |
53% |
|
73 |
8% |
49% |
|
74 |
5% |
41% |
|
75 |
6% |
37% |
|
76 |
9% |
31% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
22% |
Median |
78 |
4% |
18% |
|
79 |
4% |
15% |
|
80 |
2% |
11% |
|
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
83 |
3% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
2% |
94% |
|
67 |
6% |
91% |
|
68 |
2% |
85% |
|
69 |
6% |
83% |
|
70 |
3% |
77% |
|
71 |
9% |
74% |
|
72 |
12% |
65% |
|
73 |
4% |
52% |
|
74 |
11% |
49% |
|
75 |
5% |
38% |
|
76 |
4% |
33% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
8% |
29% |
|
78 |
3% |
21% |
|
79 |
8% |
18% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
4% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
3% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
91% |
|
56 |
6% |
89% |
|
57 |
8% |
83% |
|
58 |
4% |
75% |
|
59 |
7% |
71% |
|
60 |
13% |
64% |
|
61 |
7% |
51% |
|
62 |
7% |
44% |
|
63 |
4% |
37% |
|
64 |
3% |
33% |
|
65 |
8% |
30% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
22% |
|
67 |
6% |
16% |
|
68 |
2% |
10% |
|
69 |
3% |
8% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
71 |
3% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
3% |
97% |
|
51 |
5% |
94% |
|
52 |
3% |
89% |
|
53 |
5% |
87% |
|
54 |
11% |
81% |
|
55 |
7% |
70% |
|
56 |
7% |
63% |
|
57 |
4% |
56% |
|
58 |
6% |
52% |
|
59 |
13% |
46% |
|
60 |
5% |
33% |
|
61 |
5% |
27% |
|
62 |
4% |
23% |
Median |
63 |
6% |
19% |
|
64 |
3% |
13% |
|
65 |
2% |
9% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
67 |
3% |
6% |
|
68 |
2% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
44 |
6% |
95% |
|
45 |
9% |
89% |
|
46 |
2% |
80% |
Median |
47 |
6% |
78% |
|
48 |
12% |
73% |
|
49 |
6% |
61% |
|
50 |
6% |
56% |
|
51 |
6% |
50% |
|
52 |
10% |
43% |
|
53 |
6% |
33% |
|
54 |
7% |
27% |
|
55 |
4% |
20% |
|
56 |
4% |
16% |
|
57 |
6% |
13% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
4% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
92% |
|
46 |
3% |
89% |
|
47 |
6% |
86% |
|
48 |
3% |
79% |
|
49 |
4% |
77% |
|
50 |
7% |
72% |
|
51 |
6% |
65% |
|
52 |
13% |
59% |
|
53 |
8% |
46% |
|
54 |
8% |
38% |
|
55 |
3% |
30% |
Median |
56 |
6% |
27% |
|
57 |
6% |
20% |
|
58 |
6% |
15% |
|
59 |
7% |
9% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
6% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
4% |
93% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
42 |
12% |
88% |
|
43 |
4% |
77% |
|
44 |
6% |
73% |
|
45 |
11% |
67% |
|
46 |
10% |
56% |
|
47 |
6% |
46% |
|
48 |
10% |
40% |
|
49 |
5% |
30% |
|
50 |
6% |
25% |
Median |
51 |
3% |
19% |
|
52 |
6% |
15% |
|
53 |
3% |
10% |
|
54 |
2% |
7% |
|
55 |
4% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
93% |
|
43 |
13% |
88% |
|
44 |
9% |
75% |
|
45 |
13% |
66% |
|
46 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
47 |
9% |
47% |
|
48 |
14% |
38% |
|
49 |
4% |
24% |
|
50 |
7% |
20% |
|
51 |
5% |
13% |
|
52 |
2% |
8% |
|
53 |
3% |
6% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
5% |
98% |
|
31 |
2% |
93% |
|
32 |
6% |
91% |
|
33 |
4% |
85% |
|
34 |
3% |
81% |
|
35 |
4% |
78% |
|
36 |
10% |
74% |
|
37 |
3% |
64% |
|
38 |
6% |
60% |
|
39 |
6% |
54% |
|
40 |
16% |
48% |
|
41 |
5% |
32% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
27% |
|
43 |
8% |
23% |
|
44 |
4% |
15% |
|
45 |
7% |
11% |
|
46 |
4% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
7% |
95% |
|
30 |
10% |
88% |
|
31 |
20% |
78% |
|
32 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
33 |
9% |
48% |
|
34 |
11% |
39% |
|
35 |
9% |
27% |
|
36 |
11% |
18% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1165
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%