Opinion Poll by Polis, 11–18 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 28.3% | 18.3% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.5–20.2% | 16.2–20.6% | 15.5–21.4% |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0.0% | 15.0% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.5–17.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.3–12.7% | 10.0–13.1% | 9.7–13.4% | 9.2–14.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 12.1% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.0–10.2% | 6.6–10.8% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.0–9.7% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.4–10.5% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.2–9.3% | 5.8–9.9% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 11.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.2–7.6% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.6–8.3% |
| Za ľudí | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.8–7.1% |
| MOST–HÍD | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–7.0% |
| SME RODINA | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 32 | 29–36 | 28–38 | 28–38 | 26–41 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 26 | 22–29 | 22–31 | 22–32 | 21–34 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 14 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 16–26 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 21 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 15 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 17 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 0–16 |
| Za ľudí | 0 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| MOST–HÍD | 11 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| SME RODINA | 11 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 7% | 95% | |
| 30 | 10% | 88% | |
| 31 | 20% | 78% | |
| 32 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 48% | |
| 34 | 11% | 39% | |
| 35 | 9% | 27% | |
| 36 | 11% | 18% | |
| 37 | 2% | 7% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 10% | 88% | |
| 24 | 8% | 79% | |
| 25 | 13% | 71% | |
| 26 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 27 | 13% | 37% | |
| 28 | 8% | 24% | |
| 29 | 8% | 16% | |
| 30 | 2% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | |
| 18 | 5% | 96% | |
| 19 | 9% | 91% | |
| 20 | 22% | 83% | |
| 21 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 45% | |
| 23 | 16% | 26% | |
| 24 | 5% | 10% | |
| 25 | 2% | 5% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 19% | 94% | |
| 14 | 25% | 75% | |
| 15 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 35% | |
| 17 | 9% | 15% | |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 16% | 94% | |
| 14 | 20% | 78% | |
| 15 | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 16 | 13% | 31% | |
| 17 | 12% | 18% | |
| 18 | 5% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 6% | 98% | |
| 12 | 18% | 92% | |
| 13 | 19% | 74% | |
| 14 | 29% | 55% | Median |
| 15 | 13% | 26% | Last Result |
| 16 | 7% | 13% | |
| 17 | 5% | 6% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 11% | 98% | |
| 10 | 12% | 87% | |
| 11 | 24% | 75% | |
| 12 | 28% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 22% | |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 0% | 59% | |
| 7 | 0% | 59% | |
| 8 | 2% | 59% | |
| 9 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 29% | |
| 11 | 8% | 12% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 0% | 44% | |
| 7 | 0% | 44% | |
| 8 | 2% | 44% | |
| 9 | 22% | 42% | |
| 10 | 12% | 20% | |
| 11 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 12 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 0% | 59% | |
| 7 | 0% | 59% | |
| 8 | 2% | 59% | |
| 9 | 27% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 30% | |
| 11 | 11% | 12% | Last Result |
| 12 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA | 60 | 83 | 91% | 77–88 | 73–89 | 73–91 | 71–93 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD | 49 | 77 | 62% | 70–83 | 68–85 | 68–87 | 66–89 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA | 49 | 79 | 70% | 72–85 | 69–86 | 68–87 | 65–89 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí | 38 | 72 | 31% | 66–80 | 64–82 | 63–83 | 62–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 89 | 73 | 33% | 67–80 | 65–82 | 63–82 | 61–84 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí | 21 | 61 | 0.1% | 55–68 | 53–70 | 52–71 | 51–73 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí | 38 | 58 | 0% | 51–64 | 50–67 | 49–67 | 48–68 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 75 | 50 | 0% | 44–57 | 43–59 | 42–60 | 41–62 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 75 | 52 | 0% | 45–58 | 44–59 | 43–59 | 41–62 |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí | 21 | 46 | 0% | 40–52 | 39–54 | 39–55 | 38–58 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 64 | 46 | 0% | 42–51 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 60 | 39 | 0% | 32–45 | 30–45 | 30–46 | 28–47 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 32 | 0% | 29–36 | 28–38 | 28–38 | 26–41 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 91% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 90% | |
| 78 | 2% | 88% | |
| 79 | 12% | 86% | |
| 80 | 7% | 74% | |
| 81 | 9% | 66% | |
| 82 | 5% | 58% | |
| 83 | 7% | 52% | |
| 84 | 6% | 46% | |
| 85 | 13% | 40% | |
| 86 | 4% | 27% | Median |
| 87 | 12% | 22% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 8% | 90% | |
| 72 | 3% | 82% | |
| 73 | 8% | 79% | |
| 74 | 4% | 71% | |
| 75 | 5% | 67% | |
| 76 | 11% | 62% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 78 | 12% | 48% | |
| 79 | 9% | 35% | |
| 80 | 3% | 26% | |
| 81 | 6% | 23% | |
| 82 | 2% | 17% | |
| 83 | 6% | 15% | |
| 84 | 2% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 6% | |
| 86 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 91% | |
| 73 | 6% | 87% | |
| 74 | 4% | 81% | |
| 75 | 7% | 77% | |
| 76 | 3% | 70% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 66% | |
| 78 | 11% | 62% | |
| 79 | 10% | 51% | |
| 80 | 7% | 40% | |
| 81 | 6% | 33% | |
| 82 | 5% | 27% | |
| 83 | 5% | 22% | |
| 84 | 3% | 17% | |
| 85 | 8% | 14% | |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | Median |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 14% | 80% | |
| 70 | 6% | 66% | |
| 71 | 7% | 61% | |
| 72 | 4% | 53% | |
| 73 | 8% | 49% | |
| 74 | 5% | 41% | |
| 75 | 6% | 37% | |
| 76 | 9% | 31% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 22% | Median |
| 78 | 4% | 18% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 2% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 9% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 6% | 91% | |
| 68 | 2% | 85% | |
| 69 | 6% | 83% | |
| 70 | 3% | 77% | |
| 71 | 9% | 74% | |
| 72 | 12% | 65% | |
| 73 | 4% | 52% | |
| 74 | 11% | 49% | |
| 75 | 5% | 38% | |
| 76 | 4% | 33% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 29% | |
| 78 | 3% | 21% | |
| 79 | 8% | 18% | |
| 80 | 3% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 4% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 94% | |
| 55 | 2% | 91% | |
| 56 | 6% | 89% | |
| 57 | 8% | 83% | |
| 58 | 4% | 75% | |
| 59 | 7% | 71% | |
| 60 | 13% | 64% | |
| 61 | 7% | 51% | |
| 62 | 7% | 44% | |
| 63 | 4% | 37% | |
| 64 | 3% | 33% | |
| 65 | 8% | 30% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 22% | |
| 67 | 6% | 16% | |
| 68 | 2% | 10% | |
| 69 | 3% | 8% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Za ľudí

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 5% | 94% | |
| 52 | 3% | 89% | |
| 53 | 5% | 87% | |
| 54 | 11% | 81% | |
| 55 | 7% | 70% | |
| 56 | 7% | 63% | |
| 57 | 4% | 56% | |
| 58 | 6% | 52% | |
| 59 | 13% | 46% | |
| 60 | 5% | 33% | |
| 61 | 5% | 27% | |
| 62 | 4% | 23% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 19% | |
| 64 | 3% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 6% | 95% | |
| 45 | 9% | 89% | |
| 46 | 2% | 80% | Median |
| 47 | 6% | 78% | |
| 48 | 12% | 73% | |
| 49 | 6% | 61% | |
| 50 | 6% | 56% | |
| 51 | 6% | 50% | |
| 52 | 10% | 43% | |
| 53 | 6% | 33% | |
| 54 | 7% | 27% | |
| 55 | 4% | 20% | |
| 56 | 4% | 16% | |
| 57 | 6% | 13% | |
| 58 | 2% | 7% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 60 | 4% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 3% | 92% | |
| 46 | 3% | 89% | |
| 47 | 6% | 86% | |
| 48 | 3% | 79% | |
| 49 | 4% | 77% | |
| 50 | 7% | 72% | |
| 51 | 6% | 65% | |
| 52 | 13% | 59% | |
| 53 | 8% | 46% | |
| 54 | 8% | 38% | |
| 55 | 3% | 30% | Median |
| 56 | 6% | 27% | |
| 57 | 6% | 20% | |
| 58 | 6% | 15% | |
| 59 | 7% | 9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 4% | 93% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 42 | 12% | 88% | |
| 43 | 4% | 77% | |
| 44 | 6% | 73% | |
| 45 | 11% | 67% | |
| 46 | 10% | 56% | |
| 47 | 6% | 46% | |
| 48 | 10% | 40% | |
| 49 | 5% | 30% | |
| 50 | 6% | 25% | Median |
| 51 | 3% | 19% | |
| 52 | 6% | 15% | |
| 53 | 3% | 10% | |
| 54 | 2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 5% | 93% | |
| 43 | 13% | 88% | |
| 44 | 9% | 75% | |
| 45 | 13% | 66% | |
| 46 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 47% | |
| 48 | 14% | 38% | |
| 49 | 4% | 24% | |
| 50 | 7% | 20% | |
| 51 | 5% | 13% | |
| 52 | 2% | 8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 5% | 98% | |
| 31 | 2% | 93% | |
| 32 | 6% | 91% | |
| 33 | 4% | 85% | |
| 34 | 3% | 81% | |
| 35 | 4% | 78% | |
| 36 | 10% | 74% | |
| 37 | 3% | 64% | |
| 38 | 6% | 60% | |
| 39 | 6% | 54% | |
| 40 | 16% | 48% | |
| 41 | 5% | 32% | Median |
| 42 | 5% | 27% | |
| 43 | 8% | 23% | |
| 44 | 4% | 15% | |
| 45 | 7% | 11% | |
| 46 | 4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | |
| 29 | 7% | 95% | |
| 30 | 10% | 88% | |
| 31 | 20% | 78% | |
| 32 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 48% | |
| 34 | 11% | 39% | |
| 35 | 9% | 27% | |
| 36 | 11% | 18% | |
| 37 | 2% | 7% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–18 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1165
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%