Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.9% (General Election of 5 March 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.8% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% | 4.2–8.6% | 3.9–9.3% |
| 11–13 February 2020 | AKO | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 6–12 February 2020 | FOCUS | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 3–6 February 2020 | AKO | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 24–31 January 2020 | MVK | 7.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.1–9.2% | 5.7–9.7% |
| 23–30 January 2020 | Polis | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.0% | 3.9–7.5% |
| 15–22 January 2020 | FOCUS | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 15–17 January 2020 | AKO | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 10–15 January 2020 | Polis | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.4–8.0% |
| 10–14 January 2020 | FOCUS | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 7–9 January 2020 | AKO TA3 |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 7–11 December 2019 | Polis | 6.1% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.5–8.2% |
| 2–9 December 2019 | FOCUS | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| 19–25 November 2019 | AKO | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| 9–13 November 2019 | Polis | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 30 October–6 November 2019 | FOCUS | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.8% |
| 15–22 October 2019 | FOCUS | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 7–10 October 2019 | AKO | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 18–25 September 2019 | AKO | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 11–17 September 2019 | FOCUS | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 26–29 August 2019 | AKO | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| 12 August 2019 | MVK | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 1–7 August 2019 | FOCUS | 7.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 19–25 June 2019 | FOCUS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 11–18 June 2019 | Polis | 8.2% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.0–9.7% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.4–10.5% |
| 1–11 June 2019 | FOCUS | 7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.8% |
| 28–31 May 2019 | AKO | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 8–10 May 2019 | AKO | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 29 April–6 May 2019 | AKO | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 8–14 April 2019 | FOCUS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 1–2 April 2019 | AKO | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 1–15 March 2019 | FOCUS | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 21–26 February 2019 | FOCUS | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 8–12 February 2019 | AKO | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 16–23 January 2019 | FOCUS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 1–9 December 2018 | FOCUS | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 27–28 November 2018 | AKO | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| 13–15 November 2018 | AKO | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 7–14 November 2018 | FOCUS | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 3–8 October 2018 | AKO | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 18–25 September 2018 | FOCUS | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | AKO | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 15–17 August 2018 | AKO | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 2–9 August 2018 | FOCUS | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 18–21 June 2018 | AKO | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| 4–11 June 2018 | FOCUS | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| 16–21 May 2018 | AKO | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| 24–30 April 2018 | FOCUS | 6.8% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 20–24 April 2018 | AKO | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 4–7 April 2018 | AKO | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 7–13 March 2018 | FOCUS | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 21–26 February 2018 | AKO | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 23–28 January 2018 | FOCUS | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 35% | 93% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 58% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 28% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 13% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 |
| 11–13 February 2020 | AKO | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 6–12 February 2020 | FOCUS | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 3–6 February 2020 | AKO | 10 | 10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 24–31 January 2020 | MVK | 15 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 23–30 January 2020 | Polis | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 15–22 January 2020 | FOCUS | 9 | 9–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 15–17 January 2020 | AKO | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 10–15 January 2020 | Polis | 11 | 9–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 10–14 January 2020 | FOCUS | 10 | 10–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 7–9 January 2020 | AKO TA3 |
11 | 9–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 7–11 December 2019 | Polis | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 0–14 | 0–16 |
| 2–9 December 2019 | FOCUS | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 19–25 November 2019 | AKO | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–12 | 0–14 |
| 9–13 November 2019 | Polis | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 30 October–6 November 2019 | FOCUS | 9 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–16 |
| 15–22 October 2019 | FOCUS | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 0–16 |
| 7–10 October 2019 | AKO | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 18–25 September 2019 | AKO | 14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 11–17 September 2019 | FOCUS | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–16 |
| 26–29 August 2019 | AKO | 9 | 9–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 12 August 2019 | MVK | 17 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 1–7 August 2019 | FOCUS | 14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 19–25 June 2019 | FOCUS | 11 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| 11–18 June 2019 | Polis | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 1–11 June 2019 | FOCUS | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 28–31 May 2019 | AKO | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 | 11–18 |
| 8–10 May 2019 | AKO | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| 29 April–6 May 2019 | AKO | 10 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 0–14 |
| 8–14 April 2019 | FOCUS | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| 1–2 April 2019 | AKO | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 1–15 March 2019 | FOCUS | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 21–26 February 2019 | FOCUS | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 8–12 February 2019 | AKO | 10 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 16–23 January 2019 | FOCUS | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 1–9 December 2018 | FOCUS | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| 27–28 November 2018 | AKO | 11 | 10–13 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 0–15 |
| 13–15 November 2018 | AKO | 10 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 7–14 November 2018 | FOCUS | 13 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 3–8 October 2018 | AKO | 10 | 9–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 18–25 September 2018 | FOCUS | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | AKO | 13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 15–17 August 2018 | AKO | 10 | 9–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 2–9 August 2018 | FOCUS | 13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 18–21 June 2018 | AKO | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 4–11 June 2018 | FOCUS | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 0–16 |
| 16–21 May 2018 | AKO | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| 24–30 April 2018 | FOCUS | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 0–16 |
| 20–24 April 2018 | AKO | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 4–7 April 2018 | AKO | 15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 10–19 |
| 7–13 March 2018 | FOCUS | 13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 21–26 February 2018 | AKO | 12 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 23–28 January 2018 | FOCUS | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 81% | |
| 2 | 0% | 81% | |
| 3 | 0% | 81% | |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 0% | 81% | |
| 7 | 0% | 81% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 9 | 21% | 80% | |
| 10 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 48% | |
| 12 | 6% | 28% | |
| 13 | 3% | 23% | |
| 14 | 5% | 19% | |
| 15 | 9% | 14% | |
| 16 | 3% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |